The Connections Analyst · 2026-10-16
Marcus Cole at Charles Town
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 5 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 3 · #2 Candied Up
Best longshotRace 1 · #3 Instagrand Girl
Race 1 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Ride To Remember ranks first on this model’s 76.67 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #1 | Ride To Remember | 4-1 | 76.67 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 2 | #2 | Whatarewedoing | 1-1 | 74.17 | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 3 | #3 | Instagrand Girl | 8-1 | 48.33 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 4 | #6 | Miss Fortunate | 2.5-1 | 47.50 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 5 | #5 | Trouble And Strife | 15-1 | 38.33 | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 6 | #4 | Tidbit | 10-1 | 15.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
Leading contenders: 1 · 2 · 3 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Global Consort ranks first on this model’s 66.67 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Global Consort | 1.8-1 | 66.67 | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 2 | #6 | Up On The Rock | 2-1 | 66.67 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 3 | #2 | Mesa'S Spunky Girl | 2.5-1 | 60.83 | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 4 | #3 | Katakana | 15-1 | 45.00 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 5 | #1 | Scat | 10-1 | 35.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 6 | #4 | Elite Miss | 6-1 | 25.83 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 75.00 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 6 · 2 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Candied Up ranks first on this model’s 91.67 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Candied Up | 1.8-1 | 91.67 | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 2 | #3 | Magical Surprise | 2-1 | 65.00 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 3 | #4 | El Pacho | 15-1 | 49.17 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 4 | #6 | George | 2.5-1 | 45.83 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 5 | #1 | Cedar Runs Fiber | 20-1 | 27.08 | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 66.67 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 6 | #5 | Tup'S To Take | 4.5-1 | 21.25 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 66.67 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 75.00 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 3 · 4 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Toodleswasmyname ranks first on this model’s 79.17 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Toodleswasmyname | 1.4-1 | 79.17 | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 2 | #2 | York Tavern | 6-1 | 55.83 | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 3 | #4 | Sailor Sam | 4-1 | 55.00 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 4 | #5 | C R'S Uncle Lino | 12-1 | 45.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 5 | #3 | Flag Officer | 4.5-1 | 33.33 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 6 | #1 | Soul Catcher | 3.5-1 | 31.67 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 41.67 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 2 · 4 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Just A Wizard ranks first on this model’s 86.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #10 | Just A Wizard | 3.5-1 | 86.00 | Ability: 95.00 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 2 | #7 | Rock Of Ages | 2.5-1 | 83.50 | Ability: 85.00 · Class: 35.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 15.00 |
| 3 | #5 | John'S Notion | 8-1 | 65.50 | Ability: 55.00 · Class: 85.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 95.00 |
| 4 | #2 | Dr. Buzzy | 8-1 | 63.00 | Ability: 45.00 · Class: 45.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 55.00 · Reliability: 45.00 |
| 5 | #8 | Military Grade | 8-1 | 54.00 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 55.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 85.00 · Reliability: 35.00 |
| 6 | #1 | Revolution Rock | 6-1 | 39.75 | Ability: 15.00 · Class: 20.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 55.00 · Reliability: 65.00 |
| 7 | #6 | Bad Lineage | 10-1 | 38.00 | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 95.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 15.00 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 8 | #4 | Espresso | 12-1 | 29.00 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 65.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 55.00 · Reliability: 85.00 |
| 9 | #3 | Paint The Alley | 10-1 | 28.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 5.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 5.00 |
| 10 | #9 | Jaker | 20-1 | 13.25 | Ability: 5.00 · Class: 20.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 55.00 |
Leading contenders: 10 · 7 · 5 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 7 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Bull'S Gold ranks first on this model’s 92.86 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #1 | Bull'S Gold | 2.5-1 | 92.86 | Ability: 92.86 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 2 | #6 | Aspen'S Angel | 3-1 | 73.93 | Ability: 64.29 · Class: 71.43 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 71.43 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 3 | #7 | Lil Pegasus | 6-1 | 53.21 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 71.43 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 71.43 · Reliability: 78.57 |
| 4 | #2 | Contra Costa | 15-1 | 52.86 | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #4 | Dixiespeprmintwist | 12-1 | 44.29 | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 64.29 |
| 6 | #3 | Hobnob'S Girl | 1.8-1 | 19.29 | Ability: 21.43 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 7 | #5 | Malibu Candy | 12-1 | 13.57 | Ability: 7.14 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 21.43 |
Leading contenders: 1 · 6 · 7 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Holiday Cash ranks first on this model’s 85.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Holiday Cash | 1.6-1 | 85.00 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Breezing Up | 5-1 | 81.67 | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 3 | #5 | Buster The Bully | 6-1 | 40.83 | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 4 | #1 | Silver Saber | 4-1 | 39.58 | Ability: 33.33 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 5 | #2 | Fortunate Son | 6-1 | 32.08 | Ability: 33.33 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 6 | #3 | Flatter My Dad | 3.5-1 | 20.83 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 58.33 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 4 · 5 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 8 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Shessweetlikecandy ranks first on this model’s 79.44 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Shessweetlikecandy | 2.5-1 | 79.44 | Ability: 94.44 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 27.78 |
| 2 | #6 | Gazoza | 1.6-1 | 75.00 | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 3 | #8 | Malibu Miss | 12-1 | 71.94 | Ability: 77.78 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 4 | #1 | Runaway Gold | 12-1 | 55.00 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 61.11 |
| 5 | #3 | Hellenic Spirit | 10-1 | 50.28 | Ability: 77.78 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 38.89 |
| 6 | #4 | Crazy Anita | 20-1 | 41.11 | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 94.44 |
| 7 | #9 | Far More | 6-1 | 35.56 | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #7 | Saucy Boss | 10-1 | 32.78 | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 72.22 |
| 9 | #5 | Beautiful Noise | 10-1 | 8.89 | Ability: 5.56 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 5.56 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 6 · 8 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.