LOOK BEYOND THE OBVIOUS.
The Value Scout · 2026-10-17

Daniel Reed at Charles Town

Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.

Feature raceRace 8 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 2 · #6 Far Away Eyes
Best longshotRace 3 · #7 Shook Me All Night
Race 1 · 6 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Brother Moses leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#5Brother Moses1.2-166.72%Ability: 77.78 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 50.00
2#4Ifthedevildanced6-113.13%Ability: 58.33 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 37.50
3#1Goldeck1.6-114.96%Ability: 75.00 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 62.50
4#2Thunder Pass15-13.84%Ability: 41.67 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 87.50
5#3Magic On The Bay5-11.13%Ability: 33.33 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 50.00
6#6Feeling Enchanted20-10.22%Ability: 8.33 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 12.50

Leading contenders: 5 · 4 · 1 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 2 · 6 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Far Away Eyes leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#6Far Away Eyes10-116.59%Ability: 58.33 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 58.33
2#1Zero Degrees3-135.13%Ability: 91.67 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 66.67 · Reliability: 75.00
3#4Miss Nine One O3.5-124.83%Ability: 75.00 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 66.67 · Reliability: 41.67
4#2Smart Cry1.4-113.05%Ability: 41.67 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 25.00
5#3Can You See Me Now4-15.82%Ability: 8.33 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 8.33
6#5Fake Strolling12-14.58%Ability: 25.00 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 91.67

Leading contenders: 6 · 1 · 4 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 3 · 7 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Shook Me All Night leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#7Shook Me All Night8-119.17%Ability: 78.57 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 91.67
2#4Twister City10-113.36%Ability: 35.71 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 8.33
3#2Rock N'Opportunity1.8-133.62%Ability: 92.86 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 41.67
4#6Miracle Lad3.5-114.98%Ability: 64.29 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 58.33
5#1They Called'Em Bob2-114.49%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 25.00
6#3Mark Of Greatness12-14.36%Ability: 21.43 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 75.00
7#5El Sindicato15-10.01%Ability: 35.71 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 50.00

Leading contenders: 7 · 4 · 2 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 4 · 7 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Lord Of Cork leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#4Lord Of Cork2-156.90%Ability: 92.86 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 78.57
2#7Like Tyson8-112.00%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 21.43
3#1Abdicate10-18.59%Ability: 35.71 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 7.14
4#5Robbielikeshim1.8-115.12%Ability: 78.57 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 64.29
5#3Coolkid20-11.44%Ability: 7.14 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 35.71
6#2Papa Linguine20-11.24%Ability: 21.43 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 50.00
7#6Sesame Streek2.5-14.70%Ability: 64.29 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 92.86

Leading contenders: 4 · 7 · 1 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 5 · 8 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Soul Healer leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#1Soul Healer1.8-142.35%Ability: 64.58 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 50.00
2#8Poney Island2.5-123.51%Ability: 68.75 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 70.00
3#4Starship Polaris2-124.23%Ability: 81.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 90.00
4#7Judy G10-15.07%Ability: 56.25 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 10.00
5#2Deever Encounter20-13.38%Ability: 31.25 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 30.00
6#5Justice You Say20-11.13%Ability: 43.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 50.00
7#3La Comadre20-10.32%Ability: 29.17 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 50.00
8#6Singing Softly20-10.01%Ability: 20.83 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 50.00

Leading contenders: 1 · 8 · 4 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 6 · 7 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Rhumjar leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#3Rhumjar3.5-123.94%Ability: 64.29 · Class: 42.86 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 35.71
2#5Summer Vibes2-131.11%Ability: 92.86 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 78.57
3#7Anchises10-15.77%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 28.57 · Reliability: 92.86
4#2Masterwork1.6-123.43%Ability: 78.57 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 64.29
5#4Williston Warrior8-16.71%Ability: 7.14 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 28.57 · Reliability: 21.43
6#1Bless America15-14.78%Ability: 21.43 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 7.14
7#6Conspiracy Fact15-14.26%Ability: 35.71 · Class: 42.86 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00

Leading contenders: 3 · 5 · 7 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 7 · 7 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Armucess leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#5Armucess1.8-138.48%Ability: 78.57 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 50.00
2#2Langleyswaterfall15-16.01%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 57.14 · Reliability: 58.33
3#6Chasing Sunsets5-114.40%Ability: 64.29 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 91.67
4#4Won Ton1.6-125.24%Ability: 78.57 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 41.67
5#1Quality Of Essence4.5-110.38%Ability: 28.57 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 8.33
6#7Trotter30-12.46%Ability: 7.14 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 57.14 · Reliability: 25.00
7#3Yes To Love10-13.03%Ability: 28.57 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 75.00

Leading contenders: 5 · 2 · 6 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 8 · 11 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Malibu Warrior leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#6Malibu Warrior12-113.76%Ability: 59.09 · Class: 81.82 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 22.73 · Reliability: 13.64
2#8Genuine Gomo3.5-139.29%Ability: 95.45 · Class: 95.45 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 72.73 · Reliability: 50.00
3#4Socially Awkward12-16.78%Ability: 22.73 · Class: 40.91 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 54.55 · Reliability: 4.55
4#10Ray'S Blue Wagon3-117.16%Ability: 86.36 · Class: 68.18 · Connections: 95.45 · Form: 86.36 · Reliability: 77.27
5#3Oleg5-17.60%Ability: 68.18 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 72.73 · Reliability: 59.09
6#5Powered By Love2.5-110.73%Ability: 77.27 · Class: 22.73 · Connections: 86.36 · Form: 95.45 · Reliability: 95.45
7#7Starship Mocha20-11.99%Ability: 13.64 · Class: 31.82 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 13.64 · Reliability: 31.82
8#1Likebelivingnmagic15-11.17%Ability: 31.82 · Class: 81.82 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 4.55 · Reliability: 40.91
9#2Big Mo Gee15-11.16%Ability: 40.91 · Class: 4.55 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 54.55 · Reliability: 68.18
10#11Mo Joke15-10.32%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 59.09 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 36.36 · Reliability: 86.36
11#9Barleewon30-10.04%Ability: 4.55 · Class: 13.64 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 36.36 · Reliability: 22.73

Leading contenders: 6 · 8 · 4 · 10. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.