The Connections Analyst · 2026-10-16
Marcus Cole at Delaware Park
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 4 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 3 · #2 Dakota Cam
Best longshotRace 3 · #2 Dakota Cam
Race 1 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Rosebank Red ranks first on this model’s 81.12 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Rosebank Red | 2-1 | 81.12 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 2 | #8 | Uniqueness | 4-1 | 71.29 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #4 | Bagley Cut | 3-1 | 67.07 | Ability: 60.42 · Class: 71.43 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 14.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #7 | Coopers Run | 10-1 | 58.12 | Ability: 67.50 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #5 | Cecilton | 15-1 | 46.77 | Ability: 52.08 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #6 | Runnickyrun | 6-1 | 39.36 | Ability: 39.58 · Class: 71.43 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 14.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #2 | Judge Caprio | 6-1 | 20.13 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 8 | #1 | Mr Galvan | 20-1 | 12.17 | Ability: 20.83 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 8 · 4 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Cyberbeast ranks first on this model’s 77.08 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #4 | Cyberbeast | 3-1 | 77.08 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 2 | #5 | Canuto | 1-1 | 75.42 | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 3 | #1 | Uniwinner | 10-1 | 45.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 4 | #2 | Develop Product | 3-1 | 45.00 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 5 | #6 | Just For The Money | 10-1 | 36.67 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 6 | #3 | My Mamba | 15-1 | 20.83 | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 41.67 |
Leading contenders: 4 · 5 · 1 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Dakota Cam ranks first on this model’s 80.62 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Dakota Cam | 10-1 | 80.62 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 2 | #7 | Pippa'S Noncents | 1.5-1 | 69.38 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 62.50 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 3 | #1 | Heavenly Tactic | 3.5-1 | 66.88 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 4 | #6 | My Dear Antonia | 8-1 | 60.62 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 5 | #8 | Sweet And Feisty | 12-1 | 55.00 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 6 | #4 | Tavria | 20-1 | 28.75 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 6.25 |
| 7 | #3 | Momentous Affair | 12-1 | 22.50 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 8 | #5 | Warriors Jewel | 3-1 | 16.25 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 62.50 · Reliability: 18.75 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 7 · 1 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 13 runners
Marcus’s quick read
She'S Wicked Hot ranks first on this model’s 87.50 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | She'S Wicked Hot | 8-1 | 87.50 | Ability: 84.62 · Class: 88.46 · Connections: 88.46 · Form: 76.92 · Reliability: 65.00 |
| 2 | #10 | Lovely Cause | 4-1 | 78.85 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 57.69 · Connections: 96.15 · Form: 42.31 · Reliability: 15.00 |
| 3 | #11 | Lend Creedence | 15-1 | 65.90 | Ability: 39.74 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 80.77 · Form: 30.77 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #8 | Chloe'S Banker | 15-1 | 61.54 | Ability: 96.15 · Class: 80.77 · Connections: 42.31 · Form: 65.38 · Reliability: 85.00 |
| 5 | #13 | Good Bianca | 15-1 | 60.77 | Ability: 42.31 · Class: 42.31 · Connections: 73.08 · Form: 11.54 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 6 | #5 | Our Survivor | 15-1 | 54.36 | Ability: 39.74 · Class: 65.38 · Connections: 57.69 · Form: 76.92 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #7 | Regal Flair | 3-1 | 51.54 | Ability: 65.38 · Class: 34.62 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 88.46 · Reliability: 45.00 |
| 8 | #12 | Montserrat Boom | 5-1 | 45.96 | Ability: 84.62 · Class: 26.92 · Connections: 34.62 · Form: 30.77 · Reliability: 95.00 |
| 9 | #6 | Mi Amol | 12-1 | 43.72 | Ability: 52.56 · Class: 96.15 · Connections: 26.92 · Form: 53.85 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #9 | Julies Mandolin | 20-1 | 43.08 | Ability: 3.85 · Class: 19.23 · Connections: 65.38 · Form: 19.23 · Reliability: 55.00 |
| 11 | #4 | G G'S Treasure | 20-1 | 25.38 | Ability: 11.54 · Class: 73.08 · Connections: 19.23 · Form: 3.85 · Reliability: 35.00 |
| 12 | #1 | Mom Esterina | 6-1 | 21.15 | Ability: 73.08 · Class: 3.85 · Connections: 3.85 · Form: 96.15 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 13 | #2 | Cloud Kisses | 20-1 | 15.38 | Ability: 26.92 · Class: 11.54 · Connections: 11.54 · Form: 53.85 · Reliability: 5.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 10 · 11 · 8. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Awesome Pic ranks first on this model’s 81.67 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #1 | Awesome Pic | 1.4-1 | 81.67 | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 2 | #6 | Pat'Schromecompass | 3.5-1 | 77.50 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 3 | #5 | Beautiful Bolt | 10-1 | 60.83 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 4 | #3 | Three Polks | 1.8-1 | 31.67 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 5 | #2 | Smart With Heart | 12-1 | 28.33 | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 6 | #4 | Duela Dent | 12-1 | 20.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 8.33 |
Leading contenders: 1 · 6 · 5 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Six Stitches ranks first on this model’s 80.94 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #7 | Six Stitches | 3.5-1 | 80.94 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 70.00 |
| 2 | #1 | Herecomesthecptn | 6-1 | 75.62 | Ability: 47.50 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #5 | Cohiba | 4-1 | 61.88 | Ability: 52.50 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #3 | Tiz A God | 12-1 | 58.44 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #8 | Even Up | 4-1 | 54.69 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 30.00 |
| 6 | #4 | Daddy Moneybags | 2.5-1 | 45.31 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 90.00 |
| 7 | #6 | Mucho Oro | 15-1 | 17.19 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #2 | Royal Authentic | 15-1 | 9.06 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 10.00 |
Leading contenders: 7 · 1 · 5 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Vorstin ranks first on this model’s 82.60 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Vorstin | 2-1 | 82.60 | Ability: 79.17 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Precious Cat | 3-1 | 71.88 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 78.57 |
| 3 | #1 | Misty Money | 5-1 | 64.06 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 4 | #7 | Derby Hangover | 6-1 | 51.88 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 5 | #6 | Code Name Willow | 12-1 | 37.81 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #3 | Meatballsforaries | 6-1 | 37.19 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 7 | #5 | Little Lia | 12-1 | 28.75 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 8 | #8 | Cool Spite | 10-1 | 22.19 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 64.29 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 4 · 1 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 8 · 11 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Chappelle ranks first on this model’s 81.82 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Chappelle | 3-1 | 81.82 | Ability: 95.45 · Class: 4.55 · Connections: 95.45 · Form: 95.45 · Reliability: 22.73 |
| 2 | #4 | Dazzlemesilver | 4-1 | 76.82 | Ability: 86.36 · Class: 22.73 · Connections: 86.36 · Form: 86.36 · Reliability: 40.91 |
| 3 | #11 | Norfie | 8-1 | 65.45 | Ability: 68.18 · Class: 86.36 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 40.91 · Reliability: 68.18 |
| 4 | #8 | Jurisprudence | 10-1 | 62.27 | Ability: 22.73 · Class: 68.18 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 4.55 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #7 | Gowokegobroke | 8-1 | 54.55 | Ability: 40.91 · Class: 95.45 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 59.09 · Reliability: 86.36 |
| 6 | #9 | Mogalu | 20-1 | 54.32 | Ability: 31.82 · Class: 36.36 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 40.91 · Reliability: 95.45 |
| 7 | #5 | Levee Was Dry | 5-1 | 46.82 | Ability: 59.09 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 68.18 · Reliability: 59.09 |
| 8 | #1 | Russian Hammer | 12-1 | 37.05 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 36.36 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 77.27 · Reliability: 13.64 |
| 9 | #10 | God With Us | 20-1 | 30.91 | Ability: 77.27 · Class: 59.09 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 40.91 · Reliability: 77.27 |
| 10 | #2 | Awesome For Sure | 20-1 | 26.36 | Ability: 4.55 · Class: 77.27 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 22.73 · Reliability: 4.55 |
| 11 | #3 | Rolly | 20-1 | 13.64 | Ability: 13.64 · Class: 13.64 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 13.64 · Reliability: 31.82 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 4 · 11 · 8. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 9 · 7 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Little Logan ranks first on this model’s 76.43 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Little Logan | 15-1 | 76.43 | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 14.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #7 | Happy Encounter | 1-1 | 70.00 | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 90.00 |
| 3 | #3 | Tuvana | 12-1 | 65.00 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 14.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #4 | Doncella | 1.4-1 | 45.71 | Ability: 92.86 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #1 | Misseleanor | 12-1 | 45.00 | Ability: 64.29 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 10.00 |
| 6 | #6 | Its My Decision | 15-1 | 36.43 | Ability: 21.43 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 30.00 |
| 7 | #5 | Smokie Mist | 15-1 | 18.57 | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 70.00 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 7 · 3 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.