LOOK BEYOND THE OBVIOUS.
The Value Scout · 2026-10-17

Daniel Reed at Delaware Park

Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.

Feature raceRace 5 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 3 · #11 Muthabir
Best longshotRace 3 · #11 Muthabir
Race 1 · 10 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Martini Martin leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#3Martini Martin12-120.51%Ability: 75.00 · Class: 95.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 35.00 · Reliability: 35.00
2#5Let'S Have A Party15-113.30%Ability: 85.00 · Class: 35.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 65.00
3#6Morning Thoughts15-16.12%Ability: 55.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 55.00 · Reliability: 55.00
4#9Superstar Swank5-114.79%Ability: 35.00 · Class: 15.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 85.00 · Reliability: 15.00
5#4Love Me Not2.5-121.92%Ability: 95.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 55.00 · Reliability: 95.00
6#1Street Glide4.5-19.23%Ability: 65.00 · Class: 45.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 75.00
7#8Ardanwood8-15.00%Ability: 15.00 · Class: 55.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 5.00
8#10Top Blood10-13.55%Ability: 5.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 55.00 · Reliability: 25.00
9#7War Master5-14.77%Ability: 45.00 · Class: 85.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 45.00
10#2Belts 'N Brooks15-10.82%Ability: 25.00 · Class: 5.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 85.00

Leading contenders: 3 · 5 · 6 · 9. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 2 · 7 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Kinzie Queen leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#1Kinzie Queen8-119.91%Ability: 57.14 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 21.43
2#4She'S A Gamer1.8-140.48%Ability: 92.86 · Class: 85.71 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 7.14
3#6Dee'S On Dow6-19.36%Ability: 57.14 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 71.43 · Reliability: 92.86
4#2Warda8-16.17%Ability: 35.71 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 71.43 · Reliability: 50.00
5#3Pinotslilgirl2.5-115.62%Ability: 78.57 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 64.29
6#7G W'S Girl4-18.46%Ability: 21.43 · Class: 85.71 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 35.71
7#5Turbo Millie20-10.00%Ability: 7.14 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 78.57

Leading contenders: 1 · 4 · 6 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 3 · 14 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Muthabir leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#11Muthabir15-139.92%Ability: 96.43 · Class: 96.43 · Connections: 17.86 · Form: 57.14 · Reliability: 67.86
2#12Bold Licorice20-19.67%Ability: 67.86 · Class: 60.71 · Connections: 3.57 · Form: 10.71 · Reliability: 17.86
3#5Power Wrench12-18.74%Ability: 60.71 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 10.71 · Form: 39.29 · Reliability: 3.57
4#14Starmetal6-112.05%Ability: 89.29 · Class: 46.43 · Connections: 32.14 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 39.29
5#1Nilambar5-18.96%Ability: 75.00 · Class: 14.29 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 82.14 · Reliability: 32.14
6#6Grey Biggsy3-15.52%Ability: 82.14 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 82.14 · Form: 32.14 · Reliability: 82.14
7#13Real Men Violin15-14.32%Ability: 46.43 · Class: 53.57 · Connections: 60.71 · Form: 57.14 · Reliability: 10.71
8#7My Pal Bill15-13.34%Ability: 53.57 · Class: 14.29 · Connections: 67.86 · Form: 71.43 · Reliability: 60.71
9#9High Yield Hunk20-11.79%Ability: 3.57 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 39.29 · Form: 17.86 · Reliability: 25.00
10#10Break Of Dawn12-11.58%Ability: 10.71 · Class: 3.57 · Connections: 46.43 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 46.43
11#8Mungo15-10.85%Ability: 32.14 · Class: 32.14 · Connections: 53.57 · Form: 3.57 · Reliability: 75.00
12#2Berman4.5-11.80%Ability: 25.00 · Class: 67.86 · Connections: 96.43 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 53.57
13#3Daw Samaa6-11.14%Ability: 39.29 · Class: 39.29 · Connections: 89.29 · Form: 71.43 · Reliability: 89.29
14#4Paynted Lion12-10.32%Ability: 17.86 · Class: 89.29 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 46.43 · Reliability: 96.43

Leading contenders: 11 · 12 · 5 · 14. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 4 · 9 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Golden Eib Micrphn leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#5Golden Eib Micrphn6-125.95%Ability: 44.44 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 5.56
2#1Buckin' Right10-110.44%Ability: 72.22 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 38.89
3#7Chelsea Wall3.5-124.96%Ability: 94.44 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 83.33
4#8Luminous Secret4.5-117.94%Ability: 83.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 72.22
5#4Miss Interpatation6-110.03%Ability: 61.11 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 61.11
6#2Securitylightning2.5-16.94%Ability: 27.78 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 50.00
7#6Heaven'S Promise10-12.41%Ability: 44.44 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 94.44
8#9Alcohol15-11.33%Ability: 16.67 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 16.67
9#3Big Bolt20-10.00%Ability: 5.56 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 27.78

Leading contenders: 5 · 1 · 7 · 8. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 5 · 20 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Bar Fourteen leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#20Bar Fourteen20-17.86%Ability: 17.50 · Class: 77.50 · Connections: 2.50 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 2.50
2#10Ruse12-110.66%Ability: 67.50 · Class: 45.00 · Connections: 62.50 · Form: 20.00 · Reliability: 22.50
3#14Sky'S Not Falling5-116.95%Ability: 92.50 · Class: 92.50 · Connections: 47.50 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 57.50
4#18Wine Collector15-16.35%Ability: 87.50 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 7.50 · Form: 60.00 · Reliability: 77.50
5#9Be Better1.8-115.10%Ability: 97.50 · Class: 82.50 · Connections: 37.50 · Form: 92.50 · Reliability: 97.50
6#12Take Me To Church4-17.59%Ability: 80.00 · Class: 37.50 · Connections: 82.50 · Form: 97.50 · Reliability: 62.50
7#5Mo Rewards6-15.29%Ability: 80.00 · Class: 52.50 · Connections: 87.50 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 82.50
8#13Drilling For Gold3-17.04%Ability: 72.50 · Class: 87.50 · Connections: 97.50 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 47.50
9#11Waldrip20-14.64%Ability: 30.00 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 27.50 · Form: 60.00 · Reliability: 12.50
10#6K Paz15-12.85%Ability: 55.00 · Class: 62.50 · Connections: 52.50 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 67.50
11#7Hoodlum20-11.88%Ability: 62.50 · Class: 97.50 · Connections: 12.50 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 87.50
12#4Hot Legs Romolo12-12.56%Ability: 30.00 · Class: 20.00 · Connections: 17.50 · Form: 42.50 · Reliability: 7.50
13#19Cupid'S Dude10-12.49%Ability: 47.50 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 42.50 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 42.50
14#16Smuggler'S Gold8-12.91%Ability: 42.50 · Class: 57.50 · Connections: 77.50 · Form: 35.00 · Reliability: 27.50
15#15Wild Jaime15-10.61%Ability: 10.00 · Class: 5.00 · Connections: 67.50 · Form: 27.50 · Reliability: 32.50
16#2Vance Scholars1.4-13.64%Ability: 55.00 · Class: 12.50 · Connections: 92.50 · Form: 87.50 · Reliability: 52.50
17#3Tallahatchiebridge20-10.40%Ability: 22.50 · Class: 5.00 · Connections: 32.50 · Form: 35.00 · Reliability: 72.50
18#1Chuck Adams15-10.35%Ability: 37.50 · Class: 20.00 · Connections: 22.50 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 92.50
19#17Pretorian Gold6-10.63%Ability: 2.50 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 72.50 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 17.50
20#8Sebastianthe First8-10.19%Ability: 10.00 · Class: 45.00 · Connections: 57.50 · Form: 20.00 · Reliability: 37.50

Leading contenders: 20 · 10 · 14 · 18. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 6 · 10 runners

Daniel’s quick read

So So leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#2So So12-115.06%Ability: 80.00 · Class: 55.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 65.00
2#10Sartorial5-129.70%Ability: 80.00 · Class: 95.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 35.00 · Reliability: 15.00
3#8Calling On Heaven3-132.87%Ability: 95.00 · Class: 65.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 95.00
4#1Soo Handsome15-16.77%Ability: 65.00 · Class: 15.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 65.00 · Reliability: 85.00
5#4Daytona Moonshine8-15.21%Ability: 55.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 45.00 · Reliability: 55.00
6#6Moral Power10-13.19%Ability: 25.00 · Class: 45.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 25.00
7#7America'S Point4-14.34%Ability: 45.00 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 55.00 · Reliability: 35.00
8#5Mr Skinny8-11.99%Ability: 35.00 · Class: 5.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 85.00 · Reliability: 75.00
9#9Better Then Lotto12-10.62%Ability: 5.00 · Class: 85.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 5.00
10#3Palace Revolt15-10.26%Ability: 15.00 · Class: 35.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 15.00 · Reliability: 45.00

Leading contenders: 2 · 10 · 8 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 7 · 19 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Ritabook leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#2Ritabook12-127.49%Ability: 97.37 · Class: 78.95 · Connections: 71.05 · Form: 84.21 · Reliability: 60.53
2#4Foggy Note8-116.72%Ability: 92.11 · Class: 78.95 · Connections: 97.37 · Form: 52.63 · Reliability: 92.11
3#5Thirst For Hope15-15.99%Ability: 34.21 · Class: 86.84 · Connections: 28.95 · Form: 28.95 · Reliability: 7.89
4#12Truthorconsequence4-113.11%Ability: 84.21 · Class: 97.37 · Connections: 65.79 · Form: 63.16 · Reliability: 34.21
5#15Baby Blocks4-111.06%Ability: 84.21 · Class: 68.42 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 76.32 · Reliability: 50.00
6#6Take Charge Boo5-16.55%Ability: 65.79 · Class: 60.53 · Connections: 60.53 · Form: 71.05 · Reliability: 44.74
7#8Gwen To Win1.4-15.44%Ability: 60.53 · Class: 34.21 · Connections: 92.11 · Form: 84.21 · Reliability: 23.68
8#17Lidia Rose10-11.45%Ability: 55.26 · Class: 55.26 · Connections: 2.63 · Form: 42.11 · Reliability: 65.79
9#18Tap It Up2.5-14.51%Ability: 71.05 · Class: 44.74 · Connections: 81.58 · Form: 97.37 · Reliability: 71.05
10#19Miss Mikos3-13.14%Ability: 76.32 · Class: 18.42 · Connections: 55.26 · Form: 52.63 · Reliability: 81.58
11#1My Ronda6-11.34%Ability: 7.89 · Class: 39.47 · Connections: 39.47 · Form: 23.68 · Reliability: 2.63
12#16Imperio Azteca20-10.32%Ability: 13.16 · Class: 68.42 · Connections: 34.21 · Form: 10.53 · Reliability: 13.16
13#9Seekingbythestorm30-10.21%Ability: 2.63 · Class: 28.95 · Connections: 18.42 · Form: 2.63 · Reliability: 18.42
14#13I'Mwishingonastar4.5-11.08%Ability: 42.11 · Class: 92.11 · Connections: 44.74 · Form: 34.21 · Reliability: 55.26
15#14Only You8-10.59%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 7.89 · Connections: 23.68 · Form: 92.11 · Reliability: 86.84
16#3Capricorn Belle10-10.36%Ability: 28.95 · Class: 23.68 · Connections: 76.32 · Form: 63.16 · Reliability: 28.95
17#7Tailored For Joy8-10.36%Ability: 42.11 · Class: 13.16 · Connections: 86.84 · Form: 42.11 · Reliability: 97.37
18#11Afterneath12-10.10%Ability: 18.42 · Class: 2.63 · Connections: 7.89 · Form: 18.42 · Reliability: 39.47
19#10Peony6-10.17%Ability: 23.68 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 13.16 · Form: 10.53 · Reliability: 76.32

Leading contenders: 2 · 4 · 5 · 12. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 8 · 9 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Chipotle leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#4Chipotle15-118.43%Ability: 66.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 27.78
2#8Fire Pit12-115.84%Ability: 83.33 · Class: 88.89 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 66.67 · Reliability: 94.44
3#9Boardwalk Jack15-19.45%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 88.89 · Reliability: 61.11
4#6Souper Tuscan10-16.31%Ability: 66.67 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 66.67 · Reliability: 72.22
5#1Quint'S Brew1.4-126.34%Ability: 94.44 · Class: 88.89 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 88.89 · Reliability: 83.33
6#2Pride'S Prince10-15.59%Ability: 38.89 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 38.89
7#7Scorching2-110.11%Ability: 5.56 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 5.56
8#5J J Zo Zo15-14.33%Ability: 27.78 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 11.11 · Reliability: 50.00
9#3Showstopper Copper12-13.59%Ability: 16.67 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 11.11 · Reliability: 16.67

Leading contenders: 4 · 8 · 9 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 9 · 13 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Maida leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

Jump to exotic contenders ↓
RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#11Maida4-128.34%Ability: 80.77 · Class: 80.77 · Connections: 88.46 · Form: 46.15 · Reliability: 3.85
2#13Grammy Girl6-117.80%Ability: 65.38 · Class: 92.31 · Connections: 65.38 · Form: 69.23 · Reliability: 11.54
3#9Kappa Kappa12-18.17%Ability: 73.08 · Class: 57.69 · Connections: 30.77 · Form: 26.92 · Reliability: 73.08
4#4Icona Mama5-113.21%Ability: 88.46 · Class: 42.31 · Connections: 73.08 · Form: 92.31 · Reliability: 57.69
5#7Carmelina12-15.52%Ability: 42.31 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 30.77 · Form: 46.15 · Reliability: 34.62
6#5Mystic Lake8-16.46%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 92.31 · Connections: 96.15 · Form: 57.69 · Reliability: 26.92
7#1Cash Call5-18.16%Ability: 96.15 · Class: 65.38 · Connections: 80.77 · Form: 80.77 · Reliability: 96.15
8#8Ultimate Authority15-14.74%Ability: 11.54 · Class: 34.62 · Connections: 57.69 · Form: 15.38 · Reliability: 19.23
9#6For The Ladies30-11.36%Ability: 19.23 · Class: 19.23 · Connections: 11.54 · Form: 69.23 · Reliability: 50.00
10#2Hold Your Breath12-12.57%Ability: 34.62 · Class: 26.92 · Connections: 3.85 · Form: 3.85 · Reliability: 42.31
11#10Benedetta10-12.60%Ability: 57.69 · Class: 73.08 · Connections: 42.31 · Form: 34.62 · Reliability: 80.77
12#12Chatelot15-11.02%Ability: 26.92 · Class: 3.85 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 92.31 · Reliability: 65.38
13#3Citana20-10.04%Ability: 3.85 · Class: 11.54 · Connections: 19.23 · Form: 15.38 · Reliability: 88.46

Leading contenders: 11 · 13 · 9 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 10 · 11 runners

Daniel’s quick read

Gran Corredor leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineModel win chanceComponent ratings
1#6Gran Corredor20-19.62%Ability: 77.27 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 95.45 · Reliability: 55.00
2#7Azario3.5-142.79%Ability: 95.45 · Class: 95.45 · Connections: 86.36 · Form: 68.18 · Reliability: 75.00
3#11Renovator8-115.83%Ability: 86.36 · Class: 68.18 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 54.55 · Reliability: 85.00
4#8Gold Rules10-110.08%Ability: 40.91 · Class: 40.91 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 22.73 · Reliability: 25.00
5#3U Crocs8-17.24%Ability: 31.82 · Class: 31.82 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 77.27 · Reliability: 15.00
6#5Draft Riots4.5-18.63%Ability: 68.18 · Class: 86.36 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 54.55 · Reliability: 45.00
7#10My Little Nico G6-13.11%Ability: 50.00 · Class: 22.73 · Connections: 95.45 · Form: 86.36 · Reliability: 65.00
8#9Seven'S Good20-10.58%Ability: 4.55 · Class: 59.09 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 4.55 · Reliability: 35.00
9#2Powered By Rage10-10.78%Ability: 13.64 · Class: 13.64 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 31.82 · Reliability: 5.00
10#4Hawksbury Hustler5-11.24%Ability: 59.09 · Class: 4.55 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 40.91 · Reliability: 95.00
11#1Avigliano12-10.09%Ability: 31.82 · Class: 77.27 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 13.64 · Reliability: 50.00

Leading contenders: 6 · 7 · 11 · 8. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.