The Connections Analyst · 2026-10-16
Marcus Cole at Evangeline Downs
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 2 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 6 · #4 Shes Jess Sixy
Best longshotRace 3 · #2 Sheaza Hero
Race 1 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Rip Roarin Hunter ranks first on this model’s 70.31 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Rip Roarin Hunter | 3.5-1 | 70.31 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 2 | #4 | Meantothebone Eagle | 15-1 | 68.44 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 3 | #1 | I C Visions | 10-1 | 59.69 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 4 | #2 | Tc Mora Mia | 8-1 | 49.06 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 5 | #8 | Jc Double Shott | 4-1 | 46.56 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 6 | #6 | Jungle Music | 1.6-1 | 42.19 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 7 | #3 | Favorite Drummer | 20-1 | 35.31 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 6.25 |
| 8 | #7 | Dash Master Pop | 6-1 | 28.44 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 56.25 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 4 · 1 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Shakira Train B ranks first on this model’s 80.75 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Shakira Train B | 6-1 | 80.75 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 55.00 · Reliability: 87.50 |
| 2 | #7 | Hardtokiss | 4.5-1 | 73.75 | Ability: 85.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 62.50 |
| 3 | #6 | Miss Foxy Eagle | 20-1 | 69.75 | Ability: 45.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 40.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #1 | San Fast | 3-1 | 62.75 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #9 | Jp Jessa Dynasty | 2-1 | 59.25 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 65.00 · Reliability: 12.50 |
| 6 | #4 | Classy Eagle | 10-1 | 40.75 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 40.00 · Reliability: 37.50 |
| 7 | #10 | Red Winged Angel | 15-1 | 35.17 | Ability: 26.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #3 | Lil Kool Cricket | 20-1 | 34.58 | Ability: 48.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #2 | Shes A Saint Z | 12-1 | 29.83 | Ability: 53.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #8 | Predators Gold | 15-1 | 15.50 | Ability: 20.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 7 · 6 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Sheaza Hero ranks first on this model’s 82.22 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Sheaza Hero | 10-1 | 82.22 | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 27.78 |
| 2 | #8 | Mda Eyes Of Carter | 15-1 | 81.11 | Ability: 94.44 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 94.44 |
| 3 | #3 | Rogue Effort | 5-1 | 57.78 | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 4 | #4 | Ms Streakin Lorenzo | 3-1 | 53.89 | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 38.89 |
| 5 | #7 | San Lorenzo Roses | 2.5-1 | 52.78 | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 61.11 |
| 6 | #9 | Rlr Jess Mischief | 4-1 | 45.00 | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 72.22 |
| 7 | #5 | Marygold Cartel | 15-1 | 35.00 | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 5.56 |
| 8 | #1 | Bellas First Rogue | 8-1 | 23.33 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #6 | Shenosherpilot | 20-1 | 18.89 | Ability: 5.56 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 83.33 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 8 · 3 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Comparame ranks first on this model’s 87.78 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #9 | Comparame | 1.4-1 | 87.78 | Ability: 94.44 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 78.57 |
| 2 | #2 | Yalls Eagle | 10-1 | 75.56 | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #1 | Panther Diamond | 15-1 | 59.44 | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 4 | #5 | Cartel Over The Moon | 15-1 | 57.78 | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 5 | #3 | A Valiant Gal | 8-1 | 48.89 | Ability: 45.56 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #8 | Shinningeagle | 5-1 | 43.33 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 7 | #7 | Losalamitoslouisiana | 3-1 | 38.33 | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 8 | #4 | Corona I Can | 20-1 | 32.96 | Ability: 35.19 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #6 | Hf Carsons Buddy | 20-1 | 15.00 | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 64.29 |
Leading contenders: 9 · 2 · 1 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Baby Pyc M ranks first on this model’s 79.08 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #10 | Baby Pyc M | 5-1 | 79.08 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Ab Ms Robyn | 3.5-1 | 70.25 | Ability: 95.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 27.78 |
| 3 | #5 | Unbullevabull Train | 15-1 | 69.75 | Ability: 45.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 85.00 · Reliability: 72.22 |
| 4 | #6 | Mg Simple Agreeman | 20-1 | 53.75 | Ability: 5.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 5.56 |
| 5 | #2 | Mr Mitch | 12-1 | 50.75 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 35.00 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 6 | #1 | Cant Uncle | 2.5-1 | 49.75 | Ability: 85.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 94.44 |
| 7 | #9 | Tu Sancho | 4.5-1 | 44.25 | Ability: 15.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 8 | #8 | San Lorenzo Cash | 8-1 | 30.25 | Ability: 55.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 65.00 · Reliability: 61.11 |
| 9 | #3 | Azulo | 20-1 | 28.75 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 15.00 · Reliability: 38.89 |
| 10 | #7 | Perrys Wagon | 10-1 | 19.25 | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 10 · 4 · 5 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 7 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Shes Jess Sixy ranks first on this model’s 79.29 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #4 | Shes Jess Sixy | 2-1 | 79.29 | Ability: 64.29 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 2 | #5 | Crystal Jackson | 15-1 | 63.57 | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 3 | #7 | All Politics Astride | 5-1 | 58.57 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 64.29 |
| 4 | #3 | Another Gold Heart | 3.5-1 | 43.57 | Ability: 92.86 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 5 | #1 | Different Corona | 2.5-1 | 42.86 | Ability: 21.43 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 6 | #6 | Stratosfaction | 8-1 | 31.43 | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #2 | Tdz Apollitical Mom | 12-1 | 30.71 | Ability: 7.14 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 78.57 |
Leading contenders: 4 · 5 · 7 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Aubrey Blues Rogue ranks first on this model’s 74.92 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Aubrey Blues Rogue | 15-1 | 74.92 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #5 | I C Me Leaving U | 3-1 | 72.50 | Ability: 80.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #6 | The La Scorpion | 15-1 | 69.75 | Ability: 45.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 4 | #4 | Epiphone | 10-1 | 60.25 | Ability: 55.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 60.00 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 5 | #1 | Takin On Lorenzo | 4.5-1 | 51.17 | Ability: 66.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #3 | Lack Of Chill | 6-1 | 49.25 | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 7 | #7 | Cindrellaachievement | 8-1 | 44.75 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 60.00 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 8 | #9 | Macho Mouse | 2.5-1 | 37.75 | Ability: 85.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 9 | #8 | Three R Tiny Tide | 20-1 | 27.50 | Ability: 20.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 15.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #10 | Blue Leaving You | 20-1 | 14.25 | Ability: 15.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 45.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 5 · 6 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.