The Value Scout · 2026-10-16
Daniel Reed at Gulfstream Park
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 5 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 9 · #6 Reconquista
Best longshotRace 9 · #6 Reconquista
Race 1 · 9 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Genesis Omega leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Genesis Omega | 4-1 | 32.51% | Ability: 67.78 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #7 | Case Law | 3-1 | 25.21% | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #1 | Mr. Khozan | 4.5-1 | 15.52% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 30.00 |
| 4 | #4 | Senor Money | 5-1 | 11.45% | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 87.50 · Reliability: 70.00 |
| 5 | #5 | Rent'S Due | 3.5-1 | 12.47% | Ability: 64.81 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #9 | Mr. Aventus | 30-1 | 2.67% | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 10.00 |
| 7 | #2 | Wordsofinspiration | 10-1 | 0.16% | Ability: 42.59 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #6 | Atomic Don | 12-1 | 0.01% | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 87.50 · Reliability: 90.00 |
| 9 | #8 | Gift From Above | 20-1 | 0.00% | Ability: 35.19 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 7 · 1 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 7 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Authentic Guitar leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Authentic Guitar | 6-1 | 37.09% | Ability: 92.86 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 70.00 |
| 2 | #7 | I Love Ines | 3-1 | 33.98% | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 10.00 |
| 3 | #5 | The Coromoto | 2-1 | 19.23% | Ability: 64.29 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 90.00 |
| 4 | #6 | Falina Blue | 20-1 | 4.64% | Ability: 30.95 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #4 | Noffies Late Nite | 6-1 | 3.27% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #1 | Cajun Empress | 5-1 | 1.79% | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 30.00 |
| 7 | #3 | My Honey Mother | 4.5-1 | 0.00% | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 7 · 5 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 7 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Slew Diva leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Slew Diva | 5-1 | 28.20% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 2 | #7 | Five Eyes Onmichel | 12-1 | 10.04% | Ability: 64.29 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 78.57 |
| 3 | #3 | My Lady James | 2-1 | 24.65% | Ability: 85.71 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 64.29 |
| 4 | #5 | Bonmati | 1.8-1 | 19.25% | Ability: 85.71 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 5 | #4 | Wicked Legacy | 4.5-1 | 9.62% | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 6 | #2 | R Firebird | 20-1 | 4.50% | Ability: 7.14 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 7 | #1 | Brenna | 8-1 | 3.73% | Ability: 21.43 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 7 · 3 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 6 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Chloe'S Toy leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #1 | Chloe'S Toy | 2.5-1 | 37.23% | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 2 | #2 | Happy Ride | 2-1 | 37.25% | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 3 | #4 | Musical Design | 5-1 | 12.82% | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 4 | #3 | Bad Gal Party | 4.5-1 | 6.44% | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 5 | #5 | Moretastic | 4-1 | 4.48% | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 6 | #6 | Storm West | 8-1 | 1.78% | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 25.00 |
Leading contenders: 1 · 2 · 4 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 10 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Maxymiss leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #1 | Maxymiss | 10-1 | 36.10% | Ability: 80.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #6 | Sass Sass | 3.5-1 | 32.32% | Ability: 73.33 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #7 | Eager Gal | 12-1 | 5.58% | Ability: 60.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #2 | Velvet Rope | 12-1 | 5.30% | Ability: 56.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #9 | American Reign | 4-1 | 8.98% | Ability: 15.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #4 | Nic'S And Nat'S | 30-1 | 2.49% | Ability: 40.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #5 | Bessan | 10-1 | 3.67% | Ability: 44.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #10 | Seven Of Hearts | 6-1 | 2.55% | Ability: 48.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #3 | Rhett Dreams | 3-1 | 3.02% | Ability: 51.67 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #8 | Sassy Sof | 8-1 | 0.00% | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 1 · 6 · 7 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 9 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Sky Over Kingston leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Sky Over Kingston | 2-1 | 42.80% | Ability: 94.44 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #7 | Frosty Belle | 6-1 | 15.01% | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 3 | #6 | Valiant Honor | 10-1 | 7.36% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 72.22 |
| 4 | #4 | Mithril | 6-1 | 10.95% | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 27.78 |
| 5 | #1 | Lady Chance | 2.5-1 | 12.71% | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 61.11 |
| 6 | #5 | Mama Drama | 20-1 | 3.10% | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 11.11 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 7 | #9 | Practically Famous | 6-1 | 4.70% | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 94.44 |
| 8 | #3 | Zealot | 20-1 | 1.54% | Ability: 5.56 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 5.56 |
| 9 | #8 | My Girl Nina | 15-1 | 1.83% | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 11.11 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 33.33 · Reliability: 38.89 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 7 · 6 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 7 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Knows Everything leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Knows Everything | 2.5-1 | 35.58% | Ability: 92.86 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 70.00 |
| 2 | #7 | Divine Secrets | 10-1 | 10.66% | Ability: 21.43 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 10.00 |
| 3 | #1 | Glacia Glaze | 12-1 | 7.13% | Ability: 21.43 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #4 | Intricity | 1.8-1 | 23.28% | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 57.14 · Reliability: 30.00 |
| 5 | #5 | Kokomo Kitty | 3-1 | 12.23% | Ability: 59.52 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #6 | Mo Town Soul | 5-1 | 6.17% | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #2 | Happy Feet Hannah | 15-1 | 4.95% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 57.14 · Reliability: 90.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 7 · 1 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 8 · 9 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Barakah leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Barakah | 8-1 | 34.27% | Ability: 64.81 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #9 | Finding Strength | 5-1 | 33.28% | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 3 | #8 | Ocala Gala | 2.5-1 | 20.63% | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 4 | #7 | La Dolce Vita | 3-1 | 5.53% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 55.56 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 5 | #6 | Lucy'S Cookie | 8-1 | 3.60% | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 66.67 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 64.29 |
| 6 | #3 | Sweet Dream Lady | 15-1 | 1.70% | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 38.89 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 7 | #1 | Champagne Brunch | 10-1 | 0.76% | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 27.78 · Reliability: 78.57 |
| 8 | #4 | Vivi Get Your Guns | 30-1 | 0.08% | Ability: 5.56 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #5 | Miss Beethoven | 4.5-1 | 0.15% | Ability: 42.59 · Class: 66.67 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 55.56 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 9 · 8 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 9 · 10 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Reconquista leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Reconquista | 10-1 | 37.85% | Ability: 68.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Sheila Magic | 8-1 | 17.48% | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 44.44 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 3 | #10 | Makeitlookez | 2-1 | 24.95% | Ability: 73.33 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #8 | Baby Princess | 4.5-1 | 7.77% | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 44.44 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 5 | #7 | Liberty Path | 15-1 | 4.91% | Ability: 55.00 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 44.44 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #2 | Giddyuplilmomma | 10-1 | 4.70% | Ability: 46.67 · Class: 44.44 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 22.22 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #9 | Pardon My Dolly | 8-1 | 1.16% | Ability: 20.00 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 22.22 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #3 | My Sweet Belle | 10-1 | 0.79% | Ability: 40.00 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #5 | One More Round | 20-1 | 0.33% | Ability: 33.33 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #1 | Siena Belle | 5-1 | 0.06% | Ability: 26.67 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 4 · 10 · 8. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.