The Value Scout · 2026-10-17
Daniel Reed at Gulfstream Park
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 5 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 1 · #7 No Love Lost
Best longshotRace 5 · #8 Pardo
Race 1 · 9 runners
Daniel’s quick read
No Love Lost leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #7 | No Love Lost | 15-1 | 28.35% | Ability: 67.78 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #2 | Bessan | 10-1 | 19.17% | Ability: 58.89 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #1 | Vekoma City | 6-1 | 24.80% | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #9 | Tizoc | 2-1 | 15.61% | Ability: 57.41 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #4 | Are Sea | 6-1 | 5.53% | Ability: 45.56 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #5 | Music City Man | 4.5-1 | 6.09% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #6 | Majestic Ruler | 3-1 | 0.40% | Ability: 42.59 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #3 | Naughty Whisper | 15-1 | 0.05% | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 20.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #8 | Life Is Only One | 30-1 | 0.00% | Ability: 35.19 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 20.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 7 · 2 · 1 · 9. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 9 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Iron leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #8 | Iron | 8-1 | 27.23% | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 2 | #2 | Unpredictable | 1.8-1 | 51.66% | Ability: 94.44 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 3 | #7 | Activity | 8-1 | 7.04% | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 4 | #9 | Zenick | 5-1 | 8.75% | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 5 | #5 | Eminent Power | 20-1 | 1.89% | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 6 | #4 | Mr. Travelin' Man | 4-1 | 2.40% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 7 | #3 | Cousin Vinny | 20-1 | 0.34% | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 6.25 |
| 8 | #6 | Sim Sala Bim | 4.5-1 | 0.69% | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 38.89 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 9 | #1 | Patara Prince | 15-1 | 0.00% | Ability: 20.37 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 27.78 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 8 · 2 · 7 · 9. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 8 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Navy Cross leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #7 | Navy Cross | 12-1 | 14.81% | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 2 | #6 | Bail Us Out | 1.4-1 | 49.94% | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 3 | #5 | Spy Novel | 6-1 | 16.63% | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 4 | #3 | War Warrior | 5-1 | 9.78% | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 5 | #1 | Steelin Bases | 8-1 | 5.10% | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 6.25 |
| 6 | #8 | Giftedbydesign | 30-1 | 0.56% | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 7 | #4 | Peacethrustrength | 2.5-1 | 2.85% | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 8 | #2 | Eton | 20-1 | 0.34% | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 18.75 |
Leading contenders: 7 · 6 · 5 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 7 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Pike leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Pike | 4.5-1 | 44.63% | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 2 | #4 | Mediterranean Sea | 1.8-1 | 30.04% | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #7 | Golden Decree | 3-1 | 12.90% | Ability: 64.29 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 4 | #2 | Barjouj | 12-1 | 4.06% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #5 | Jean Laffite | 12-1 | 3.55% | Ability: 30.95 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #6 | Predators' Ball | 2.5-1 | 4.79% | Ability: 40.48 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #1 | Thom Thom | 15-1 | 0.03% | Ability: 7.14 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 4 · 7 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 11 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Pardo leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #8 | Pardo | 8-1 | 28.37% | Ability: 68.18 · Class: 86.36 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 4.55 |
| 2 | #7 | Ruleroftheuniverse | 8-1 | 22.86% | Ability: 86.36 · Class: 95.45 · Connections: 86.36 · Form: 72.73 · Reliability: 13.64 |
| 3 | #6 | Rockingham Joe | 4.5-1 | 15.24% | Ability: 95.45 · Class: 77.27 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 90.91 · Reliability: 95.45 |
| 4 | #10 | Lodato | 2-1 | 20.45% | Ability: 77.27 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 40.91 · Reliability: 31.82 |
| 5 | #11 | Finest Gamble | 5-1 | 5.90% | Ability: 59.09 · Class: 31.82 · Connections: 95.45 · Form: 72.73 · Reliability: 68.18 |
| 6 | #5 | Bernardo'S Legacy | 15-1 | 3.05% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 13.64 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 59.09 · Reliability: 40.91 |
| 7 | #1 | Dominican Pirate | 20-1 | 1.15% | Ability: 27.27 · Class: 4.55 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 90.91 · Reliability: 77.27 |
| 8 | #2 | Sky Masterson | 6-1 | 2.09% | Ability: 40.91 · Class: 40.91 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 4.55 · Reliability: 59.09 |
| 9 | #9 | Sponge Time | 15-1 | 0.60% | Ability: 27.27 · Class: 68.18 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 13.64 · Reliability: 86.36 |
| 10 | #4 | My Foolish Notion | 30-1 | 0.19% | Ability: 13.64 · Class: 59.09 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 27.27 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 11 | #3 | Rockazo | 20-1 | 0.10% | Ability: 4.55 · Class: 22.73 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 27.27 · Reliability: 22.73 |
Leading contenders: 8 · 7 · 6 · 10. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 9 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Katie'S Delight leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #8 | Katie'S Delight | 2.5-1 | 41.59% | Ability: 64.81 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #9 | I'M Not Tell You | 3-1 | 28.69% | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #2 | Follow Lisa D | 10-1 | 9.87% | Ability: 58.89 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #1 | Riding The Pine | 15-1 | 6.02% | Ability: 54.44 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #3 | Rubi Cube | 30-1 | 3.76% | Ability: 41.11 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #6 | Rose By A Nose | 6-1 | 4.08% | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #4 | Midnight Laugh | 4.5-1 | 3.59% | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #7 | Guerrera | 6-1 | 2.39% | Ability: 46.30 · Class: 40.00 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #5 | Lexi'S Breeze | 8-1 | 0.00% | Ability: 35.19 · Class: 40.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 8 · 9 · 2 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 8 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Fluffy leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #7 | Fluffy | 20-1 | 6.76% | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 2 | #2 | Das Ist Alles Ally | 6-1 | 15.92% | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 3 | #3 | Birdie Rose | 4-1 | 21.95% | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 4 | #5 | Pocket Pair | 8-1 | 8.14% | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 5 | #8 | Answer The Call | 6-1 | 9.75% | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 6 | #6 | World Traveler | 1.8-1 | 24.28% | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 7 | #1 | Terrie T | 3.5-1 | 10.25% | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 8 | #4 | Mia'S Angel | 20-1 | 2.93% | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 6.25 |
Leading contenders: 7 · 2 · 3 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 8 · 10 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Practical Bling leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Practical Bling | 10-1 | 18.06% | Ability: 73.33 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #7 | Expectations | 4-1 | 39.60% | Ability: 80.00 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #3 | Street Queen | 8-1 | 16.82% | Ability: 60.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #4 | Foxtress | 4.5-1 | 9.79% | Ability: 56.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #8 | So Icy | 2.5-1 | 9.24% | Ability: 52.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #9 | Lucky Lollipop | 5-1 | 5.27% | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #10 | Aysia Princess | 30-1 | 0.58% | Ability: 46.67 · Class: 42.86 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #1 | Miss Feisty | 15-1 | 0.56% | Ability: 46.67 · Class: 42.86 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #5 | Gilded Memory | 15-1 | 0.07% | Ability: 38.33 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 14.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #2 | Saytara | 10-1 | 0.02% | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 14.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 7 · 3 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 9 · 8 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Swaggish leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Swaggish | 20-1 | 7.70% | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 2 | #1 | My Mitole | 6-1 | 14.34% | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 3 | #8 | Practically Dark | 1.8-1 | 35.32% | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 4 | #7 | Proud American | 2.5-1 | 26.85% | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 5 | #4 | Jalapeno | 3.5-1 | 11.52% | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 6 | #5 | P Four | 20-1 | 4.25% | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 7 | #3 | Alhaeba | 8-1 | 0.02% | Ability: 32.50 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #6 | Consul Dorado | 12-1 | 0.01% | Ability: 37.50 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 1 · 8 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 10 · 8 runners
Daniel’s quick read
Majestic Delight leads the value ranking at the morning line; compare the available price before considering a wager.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Model win chance | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Majestic Delight | 20-1 | 9.09% | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 2 | #6 | Giuro | 12-1 | 7.39% | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 3 | #8 | Dream Dancer | 1.6-1 | 32.43% | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 4 | #2 | I Wish You Love | 6-1 | 11.84% | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 78.57 |
| 5 | #7 | High Greatness | 6-1 | 11.37% | Ability: 20.83 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #1 | Give Me Options | 4.5-1 | 11.43% | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 7 | #4 | Beekman Street | 4-1 | 11.95% | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 64.29 |
| 8 | #5 | Zirzop | 8-1 | 4.50% | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 6 · 8 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.