The Connections Analyst · 2026-10-17
Marcus Cole at Gulfstream Park
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 5 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 5 · #7 Ruleroftheuniverse
Best longshotRace 4 · #2 Barjouj
Race 1 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Are Sea ranks first on this model’s 75.56 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #4 | Are Sea | 6-1 | 75.56 | Ability: 45.56 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #6 | Majestic Ruler | 3-1 | 71.15 | Ability: 42.59 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #3 | Naughty Whisper | 15-1 | 57.56 | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 20.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #5 | Music City Man | 4.5-1 | 56.67 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #7 | No Love Lost | 15-1 | 47.78 | Ability: 67.78 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #9 | Tizoc | 2-1 | 45.85 | Ability: 57.41 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #1 | Vekoma City | 6-1 | 45.22 | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 80.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #2 | Bessan | 10-1 | 32.22 | Ability: 58.89 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #8 | Life Is Only One | 30-1 | 22.63 | Ability: 35.19 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 20.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 4 · 6 · 3 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Mr. Travelin' Man ranks first on this model’s 75.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #4 | Mr. Travelin' Man | 4-1 | 75.00 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 2 | #2 | Unpredictable | 1.8-1 | 74.44 | Ability: 94.44 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 3 | #9 | Zenick | 5-1 | 65.56 | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 4 | #1 | Patara Prince | 15-1 | 62.59 | Ability: 20.37 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 27.78 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #8 | Iron | 8-1 | 51.67 | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 6 | #6 | Sim Sala Bim | 4.5-1 | 42.78 | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 38.89 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 7 | #5 | Eminent Power | 20-1 | 35.56 | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 8 | #7 | Activity | 8-1 | 29.44 | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 9 | #3 | Cousin Vinny | 20-1 | 16.67 | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 6.25 |
Leading contenders: 4 · 2 · 9 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Spy Novel ranks first on this model’s 81.25 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Spy Novel | 6-1 | 81.25 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 2 | #6 | Bail Us Out | 1.4-1 | 78.75 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 3 | #4 | Peacethrustrength | 2.5-1 | 68.12 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 4 | #1 | Steelin Bases | 8-1 | 45.94 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 6.25 |
| 5 | #8 | Giftedbydesign | 30-1 | 38.75 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 6 | #2 | Eton | 20-1 | 30.62 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 7 | #7 | Navy Cross | 12-1 | 28.44 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 8 | #3 | War Warrior | 5-1 | 28.12 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 56.25 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 6 · 4 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 7 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Barjouj ranks first on this model’s 73.57 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Barjouj | 12-1 | 73.57 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #6 | Predators' Ball | 2.5-1 | 71.19 | Ability: 40.48 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #4 | Mediterranean Sea | 1.8-1 | 70.00 | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #7 | Golden Decree | 3-1 | 47.14 | Ability: 64.29 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 85.71 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 5 | #3 | Pike | 4.5-1 | 42.14 | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 6 | #1 | Thom Thom | 15-1 | 26.43 | Ability: 7.14 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #5 | Jean Laffite | 12-1 | 19.52 | Ability: 30.95 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 6 · 4 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 11 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Ruleroftheuniverse ranks first on this model’s 87.73 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #7 | Ruleroftheuniverse | 8-1 | 87.73 | Ability: 86.36 · Class: 95.45 · Connections: 86.36 · Form: 72.73 · Reliability: 13.64 |
| 2 | #11 | Finest Gamble | 5-1 | 76.82 | Ability: 59.09 · Class: 31.82 · Connections: 95.45 · Form: 72.73 · Reliability: 68.18 |
| 3 | #8 | Pardo | 8-1 | 76.36 | Ability: 68.18 · Class: 86.36 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 4.55 |
| 4 | #10 | Lodato | 2-1 | 62.27 | Ability: 77.27 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 40.91 · Reliability: 31.82 |
| 5 | #5 | Bernardo'S Legacy | 15-1 | 55.45 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 13.64 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 59.09 · Reliability: 40.91 |
| 6 | #2 | Sky Masterson | 6-1 | 46.36 | Ability: 40.91 · Class: 40.91 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 4.55 · Reliability: 59.09 |
| 7 | #6 | Rockingham Joe | 4.5-1 | 38.18 | Ability: 95.45 · Class: 77.27 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 90.91 · Reliability: 95.45 |
| 8 | #9 | Sponge Time | 15-1 | 36.14 | Ability: 27.27 · Class: 68.18 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 13.64 · Reliability: 86.36 |
| 9 | #3 | Rockazo | 20-1 | 29.09 | Ability: 4.55 · Class: 22.73 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 27.27 · Reliability: 22.73 |
| 10 | #4 | My Foolish Notion | 30-1 | 25.91 | Ability: 13.64 · Class: 59.09 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 27.27 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 11 | #1 | Dominican Pirate | 20-1 | 15.68 | Ability: 27.27 · Class: 4.55 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 90.91 · Reliability: 77.27 |
Leading contenders: 7 · 11 · 8 · 10. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
I'M Not Tell You ranks first on this model’s 81.33 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #9 | I'M Not Tell You | 3-1 | 81.33 | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #6 | Rose By A Nose | 6-1 | 76.67 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #1 | Riding The Pine | 15-1 | 64.44 | Ability: 54.44 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #8 | Katie'S Delight | 2.5-1 | 53.04 | Ability: 64.81 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #4 | Midnight Laugh | 4.5-1 | 45.11 | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #5 | Lexi'S Breeze | 8-1 | 44.80 | Ability: 35.19 · Class: 40.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #2 | Follow Lisa D | 10-1 | 38.89 | Ability: 58.89 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #3 | Rubi Cube | 30-1 | 27.78 | Ability: 41.11 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #7 | Guerrera | 6-1 | 20.91 | Ability: 46.30 · Class: 40.00 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 9 · 6 · 1 · 8. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Birdie Rose ranks first on this model’s 86.88 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Birdie Rose | 4-1 | 86.88 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 2 | #6 | World Traveler | 1.8-1 | 84.38 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 3 | #2 | Das Ist Alles Ally | 6-1 | 65.00 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 4 | #1 | Terrie T | 3.5-1 | 53.12 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 5 | #5 | Pocket Pair | 8-1 | 35.62 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 6 | #8 | Answer The Call | 6-1 | 31.88 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 7 | #7 | Fluffy | 20-1 | 25.62 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 8 | #4 | Mia'S Angel | 20-1 | 17.50 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 6.25 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 6 · 2 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 8 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Expectations ranks first on this model’s 72.93 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #7 | Expectations | 4-1 | 72.93 | Ability: 80.00 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Foxtress | 4.5-1 | 72.50 | Ability: 56.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #9 | Lucky Lollipop | 5-1 | 66.46 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #8 | So Icy | 2.5-1 | 65.50 | Ability: 52.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #1 | Miss Feisty | 15-1 | 45.10 | Ability: 46.67 · Class: 42.86 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #5 | Gilded Memory | 15-1 | 43.65 | Ability: 38.33 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 14.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #2 | Saytara | 10-1 | 41.54 | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 14.29 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #3 | Street Queen | 8-1 | 37.50 | Ability: 60.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #6 | Practical Bling | 10-1 | 36.98 | Ability: 73.33 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #10 | Aysia Princess | 30-1 | 21.10 | Ability: 46.67 · Class: 42.86 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 7 · 4 · 9 · 8. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 9 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Practically Dark ranks first on this model’s 83.44 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #8 | Practically Dark | 1.8-1 | 83.44 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Jalapeno | 3.5-1 | 79.69 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 3 | #7 | Proud American | 2.5-1 | 70.31 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 4 | #1 | My Mitole | 6-1 | 61.56 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 5 | #2 | Swaggish | 20-1 | 36.56 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 6 | #6 | Consul Dorado | 12-1 | 35.62 | Ability: 37.50 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #5 | P Four | 20-1 | 24.69 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 8 | #3 | Alhaeba | 8-1 | 19.38 | Ability: 32.50 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 8 · 4 · 7 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 10 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Dream Dancer ranks first on this model’s 78.75 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #8 | Dream Dancer | 1.6-1 | 78.75 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 2 | #2 | I Wish You Love | 6-1 | 73.75 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 78.57 |
| 3 | #5 | Zirzop | 8-1 | 67.50 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #4 | Beekman Street | 4-1 | 63.12 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 64.29 |
| 5 | #3 | Majestic Delight | 20-1 | 50.62 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 6 | #1 | Give Me Options | 4.5-1 | 32.50 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 7 | #6 | Giuro | 12-1 | 20.00 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 8 | #7 | High Greatness | 6-1 | 17.40 | Ability: 20.83 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 8 · 2 · 5 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.