The Connections Analyst · 2026-10-17
Marcus Cole at Keeneland
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 2 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 3 · #8 Swirvin
Best longshotRace 1 · #6 Strummin
Race 1 · 11 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Strummin ranks first on this model’s 82.50 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Strummin | 8-1 | 82.50 | Ability: 54.55 · Class: 77.27 · Connections: 95.45 · Form: 13.64 · Reliability: 55.00 |
| 2 | #9 | Heartily | 4.5-1 | 72.73 | Ability: 31.82 · Class: 86.36 · Connections: 86.36 · Form: 31.82 · Reliability: 15.00 |
| 3 | #8 | Trouble Time | 2.5-1 | 68.18 | Ability: 95.45 · Class: 95.45 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 40.91 · Reliability: 95.00 |
| 4 | #11 | Keepinitreal | 10-1 | 62.73 | Ability: 68.18 · Class: 31.82 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 63.64 · Reliability: 65.00 |
| 5 | #5 | Hodl Hard | 5-1 | 57.27 | Ability: 13.64 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 22.73 · Reliability: 5.00 |
| 6 | #7 | L Rankin | 6-1 | 52.27 | Ability: 86.36 · Class: 40.91 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 86.36 · Reliability: 85.00 |
| 7 | #3 | Essential Wild Cat | 20-1 | 43.18 | Ability: 22.73 · Class: 13.64 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 63.64 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 8 | #2 | Out Flat | 30-1 | 32.73 | Ability: 40.91 · Class: 22.73 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 77.27 · Reliability: 45.00 |
| 9 | #4 | Our Standard | 10-1 | 29.09 | Ability: 59.09 · Class: 4.55 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 95.45 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #1 | Dispersion | 12-1 | 26.59 | Ability: 54.55 · Class: 68.18 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 35.00 |
| 11 | #10 | Knick The Quick | 15-1 | 18.18 | Ability: 4.55 · Class: 59.09 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 4.55 · Reliability: 25.00 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 9 · 8 · 11. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 16 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Sailor'S Dream ranks first on this model’s 85.78 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #12 | Sailor'S Dream | 3.5-1 | 85.78 | Ability: 53.12 · Class: 95.83 · Connections: 96.88 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Ardennes | 10-1 | 74.22 | Ability: 59.38 · Class: 33.33 · Connections: 90.62 · Form: 87.50 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #7 | Queens Ambition | 6-1 | 71.56 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 78.12 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #6 | Bellacielo | 8-1 | 66.56 | Ability: 63.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 71.88 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #16 | Capability | 8-1 | 66.09 | Ability: 34.38 · Class: 45.83 · Connections: 84.38 · Form: 45.83 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 6 | #2 | Southern Way | 4.5-1 | 55.78 | Ability: 28.12 · Class: 62.50 · Connections: 65.62 · Form: 70.83 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 7 | #13 | Mussume | 20-1 | 54.06 | Ability: 58.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 53.12 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #11 | Epiphany | 30-1 | 52.19 | Ability: 66.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 46.88 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #3 | Absolute Lea W | 5-1 | 49.27 | Ability: 52.08 · Class: 79.17 · Connections: 40.62 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #15 | Saffron Rouge | 30-1 | 41.41 | Ability: 15.62 · Class: 12.50 · Connections: 59.38 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 11 | #1 | Ginger Money | 12-1 | 33.59 | Ability: 46.88 · Class: 33.33 · Connections: 28.12 · Form: 29.17 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 12 | #5 | Puzzled | 15-1 | 33.44 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 54.17 · Connections: 34.38 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 13 | #10 | Valentine Eve | 12-1 | 32.66 | Ability: 65.62 · Class: 70.83 · Connections: 9.38 · Form: 79.17 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 14 | #8 | Dream Wave | 12-1 | 31.61 | Ability: 36.46 · Class: 87.50 · Connections: 15.62 · Form: 4.17 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 15 | #9 | Avos Rose | 20-1 | 19.22 | Ability: 21.88 · Class: 4.17 · Connections: 21.88 · Form: 95.83 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 16 | #14 | J Z'S Not Again | 12-1 | 16.72 | Ability: 46.88 · Class: 20.83 · Connections: 3.12 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 91.67 |
Leading contenders: 12 · 4 · 7 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Swirvin ranks first on this model’s 79.72 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #8 | Swirvin | 3-1 | 79.72 | Ability: 55.56 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 66.67 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 2 | #2 | Dr. Storm | 15-1 | 61.39 | Ability: 55.56 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 61.11 |
| 3 | #7 | Dancin For Gold | 2.5-1 | 61.11 | Ability: 94.44 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 66.67 · Reliability: 72.22 |
| 4 | #6 | Lord Majesty | 6-1 | 58.33 | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 94.44 |
| 5 | #1 | El Dandi | 20-1 | 56.67 | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 38.89 · Reliability: 38.89 |
| 6 | #9 | Halfway Joking | 4-1 | 53.89 | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 83.33 · Reliability: 27.78 |
| 7 | #3 | King Apollo | 8-1 | 33.89 | Ability: 72.22 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #5 | Nation | 10-1 | 30.56 | Ability: 5.56 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 27.78 · Reliability: 5.56 |
| 9 | #4 | Doctor Jeff | 12-1 | 14.44 | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 83.33 |
Leading contenders: 8 · 2 · 7 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 16 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Candy Pancakes ranks first on this model’s 75.74 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Candy Pancakes | 3.5-1 | 75.74 | Ability: 63.54 · Class: 11.54 · Connections: 96.88 · Form: 88.46 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #6 | Gray Eminence | 10-1 | 72.19 | Ability: 41.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 90.62 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #15 | Breezy | 10-1 | 71.56 | Ability: 53.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 84.38 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #9 | Sucker For Looks | 4-1 | 69.40 | Ability: 63.54 · Class: 69.23 · Connections: 71.88 · Form: 96.15 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #10 | Ultraviolet | 6-1 | 63.00 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 34.62 · Connections: 78.12 · Form: 42.31 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #14 | Majorbrowniepoints | 3-1 | 59.24 | Ability: 60.42 · Class: 69.23 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 26.92 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #13 | Emma'S Justice | 15-1 | 57.81 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 65.62 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #5 | Delightful Diva | 6-1 | 54.98 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 26.92 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 57.69 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #1 | Toco Dancer | 5-1 | 54.40 | Ability: 63.54 · Class: 69.23 · Connections: 46.88 · Form: 73.08 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #16 | Speak For Yourself | 20-1 | 51.30 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 96.15 · Connections: 40.62 · Form: 73.08 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 11 | #2 | Speedbird | 15-1 | 37.54 | Ability: 57.29 · Class: 42.31 · Connections: 28.12 · Form: 42.31 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 12 | #7 | Play Along | 20-1 | 32.26 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 69.23 · Connections: 15.62 · Form: 42.31 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 13 | #12 | Rosabella Gold | 30-1 | 32.10 | Ability: 34.38 · Class: 69.23 · Connections: 21.88 · Form: 7.69 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 14 | #8 | Nuccia | 15-1 | 31.99 | Ability: 38.54 · Class: 11.54 · Connections: 34.38 · Form: 73.08 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 15 | #4 | American Destiny | 20-1 | 25.12 | Ability: 36.46 · Class: 69.23 · Connections: 9.38 · Form: 7.69 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 16 | #11 | Woodmere | 15-1 | 11.42 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 11.54 · Connections: 3.12 · Form: 19.23 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 6 · 15 · 9. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Classic Time ranks first on this model’s 83.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Classic Time | 15-1 | 83.00 | Ability: 95.00 · Class: 55.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 85.00 · Reliability: 35.00 |
| 2 | #2 | Jefferson Street | 4.5-1 | 69.50 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 95.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 45.00 |
| 3 | #8 | Rockies Balboa | 10-1 | 64.50 | Ability: 15.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 65.00 |
| 4 | #4 | Track Phantom | 6-1 | 56.00 | Ability: 5.00 · Class: 65.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 5.00 |
| 5 | #3 | Creole Chrome | 3-1 | 53.75 | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 80.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 15.00 |
| 6 | #7 | Market Street | 20-1 | 51.75 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 80.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 15.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 7 | #9 | Great White | 4-1 | 40.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 45.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 55.00 |
| 8 | #6 | Raymond | 12-1 | 37.00 | Ability: 85.00 · Class: 5.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 95.00 |
| 9 | #1 | Camp Hale | 8-1 | 28.00 | Ability: 55.00 · Class: 35.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 65.00 · Reliability: 85.00 |
| 10 | #10 | Ship Ship Hooray | 8-1 | 16.50 | Ability: 45.00 · Class: 15.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 25.00 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 2 · 8 · 4. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 16 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Capitola ranks first on this model’s 79.69 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #11 | Capitola | 3.5-1 | 79.69 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 96.88 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #5 | Start The Party | 8-1 | 75.31 | Ability: 53.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 90.62 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #15 | Epic Journey | 5-1 | 66.56 | Ability: 33.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 84.38 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #12 | Fair Chase | 10-1 | 65.94 | Ability: 61.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 71.88 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #6 | Dr. Bob | 8-1 | 63.44 | Ability: 36.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 78.12 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #9 | Prateen | 15-1 | 61.56 | Ability: 58.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 65.62 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #7 | Outlaw Joe | 5-1 | 53.44 | Ability: 41.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 59.38 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #1 | Brazen Caine | 12-1 | 47.81 | Ability: 48.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 46.88 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #2 | Midnight Rumble | 15-1 | 46.56 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 53.12 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #16 | Twillo | 6-1 | 44.69 | Ability: 51.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 40.62 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 11 | #13 | Midnight Max | 30-1 | 44.06 | Ability: 63.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 34.38 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 12 | #3 | Decimation | 4-1 | 41.09 | Ability: 96.88 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 9.38 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 13 | #14 | Just Plain Eugene | 10-1 | 34.06 | Ability: 38.75 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 28.12 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 14 | #10 | Accelerator | 12-1 | 33.44 | Ability: 66.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 15.62 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 15 | #4 | Goshawk | 12-1 | 32.19 | Ability: 46.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 21.88 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 16 | #8 | Big City Steve | 30-1 | 17.19 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 3.12 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 11 · 5 · 15 · 12. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 12 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Deep Flame ranks first on this model’s 85.62 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #12 | Deep Flame | 1.4-1 | 85.62 | Ability: 87.50 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 95.83 · Form: 87.50 · Reliability: 22.73 |
| 2 | #1 | Solitude Dude | 6-1 | 80.21 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 87.50 · Connections: 87.50 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 13.64 |
| 3 | #4 | Roscoe'S Brother | 15-1 | 78.26 | Ability: 80.56 · Class: 70.83 · Connections: 79.17 · Form: 95.83 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #11 | Obliteration | 4.5-1 | 64.17 | Ability: 79.17 · Class: 79.17 · Connections: 54.17 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 86.36 |
| 5 | #6 | Dr. Kapur | 12-1 | 57.08 | Ability: 20.83 · Class: 62.50 · Connections: 70.83 · Form: 29.17 · Reliability: 31.82 |
| 6 | #2 | Trouble Calling | 20-1 | 53.33 | Ability: 45.83 · Class: 29.17 · Connections: 62.50 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 77.27 |
| 7 | #5 | American Man | 20-1 | 50.21 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 54.17 · Connections: 45.83 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 95.45 |
| 8 | #3 | Chief Wallabee | 8-1 | 44.58 | Ability: 70.83 · Class: 95.83 · Connections: 20.83 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #10 | Doublecents | 10-1 | 32.50 | Ability: 37.50 · Class: 4.17 · Connections: 37.50 · Form: 62.50 · Reliability: 40.91 |
| 10 | #8 | I C Light | 30-1 | 22.50 | Ability: 12.50 · Class: 12.50 · Connections: 29.17 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 59.09 |
| 11 | #7 | Mo Koko | 30-1 | 21.04 | Ability: 29.17 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 12.50 · Form: 20.83 · Reliability: 68.18 |
| 12 | #9 | Street Beast | 20-1 | 6.67 | Ability: 4.17 · Class: 20.83 · Connections: 4.17 · Form: 4.17 · Reliability: 4.55 |
Leading contenders: 12 · 1 · 4 · 11. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 8 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Amber Cascade ranks first on this model’s 76.50 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Amber Cascade | 8-1 | 76.50 | Ability: 45.00 · Class: 95.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 5.00 |
| 2 | #2 | Ontario | 6-1 | 73.50 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 65.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 40.00 · Reliability: 15.00 |
| 3 | #3 | Hear The Queen | 3.5-1 | 73.00 | Ability: 55.00 · Class: 15.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 85.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 4 | #10 | Bojaca Blessing | 3.5-1 | 62.00 | Ability: 95.00 · Class: 35.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 5 | #1 | Caviar Breakfast | 8-1 | 59.00 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 40.00 · Reliability: 55.00 |
| 6 | #8 | She'S Lookin Lucky | 3-1 | 41.00 | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 60.00 · Reliability: 35.00 |
| 7 | #6 | Dare To Fly | 30-1 | 37.00 | Ability: 85.00 · Class: 85.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 95.00 |
| 8 | #7 | Poppy The Princess | 30-1 | 36.50 | Ability: 5.00 · Class: 55.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 15.00 · Reliability: 65.00 |
| 9 | #9 | Buttons And Lace | 20-1 | 22.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 5.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 85.00 |
| 10 | #4 | For Love And Honor | 10-1 | 19.50 | Ability: 15.00 · Class: 45.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 60.00 · Reliability: 45.00 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 2 · 3 · 10. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 9 · 12 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Movie Night ranks first on this model’s 85.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #11 | Movie Night | 4.5-1 | 85.00 | Ability: 87.50 · Class: 70.83 · Connections: 87.50 · Form: 45.83 · Reliability: 22.73 |
| 2 | #8 | Conceit | 4-1 | 84.58 | Ability: 70.83 · Class: 62.50 · Connections: 95.83 · Form: 87.50 · Reliability: 13.64 |
| 3 | #2 | Mythical | 12-1 | 75.00 | Ability: 62.50 · Class: 79.17 · Connections: 79.17 · Form: 29.17 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #9 | Mashallah | 1.6-1 | 72.71 | Ability: 95.83 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 70.83 · Form: 79.17 · Reliability: 40.91 |
| 5 | #3 | Hen Party | 20-1 | 58.12 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 54.17 · Connections: 62.50 · Form: 62.50 · Reliability: 95.45 |
| 6 | #6 | Percy'S Bar | 6-1 | 54.38 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 95.83 · Connections: 45.83 · Form: 4.17 · Reliability: 68.18 |
| 7 | #10 | With A Kiss | 20-1 | 44.79 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 12.50 · Connections: 54.17 · Form: 95.83 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #7 | A Fine Chardonnay | 12-1 | 40.42 | Ability: 79.17 · Class: 87.50 · Connections: 12.50 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 59.09 |
| 9 | #12 | Star Actress | 30-1 | 34.17 | Ability: 29.17 · Class: 29.17 · Connections: 37.50 · Form: 20.83 · Reliability: 77.27 |
| 10 | #1 | Army'S Marauder | 30-1 | 21.25 | Ability: 12.50 · Class: 4.17 · Connections: 29.17 · Form: 54.17 · Reliability: 31.82 |
| 11 | #4 | Coco Connect | 50-1 | 19.79 | Ability: 4.17 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 20.83 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 4.55 |
| 12 | #5 | Yo Fancy | 30-1 | 10.83 | Ability: 20.83 · Class: 20.83 · Connections: 4.17 · Form: 70.83 · Reliability: 86.36 |
Leading contenders: 11 · 8 · 2 · 9. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 10 · 16 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Epic Lady Luck ranks first on this model’s 85.16 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Epic Lady Luck | 3.5-1 | 85.16 | Ability: 87.50 · Class: 84.38 · Connections: 84.38 · Form: 87.50 · Reliability: 96.43 |
| 2 | #14 | She Wants War | 10-1 | 81.72 | Ability: 53.12 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 96.88 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 89.29 |
| 3 | #16 | Lady Revenge | 12-1 | 78.12 | Ability: 59.38 · Class: 59.38 · Connections: 90.62 · Form: 21.88 · Reliability: 39.29 |
| 4 | #3 | Twirling Claire | 4-1 | 69.06 | Ability: 71.88 · Class: 78.12 · Connections: 65.62 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 67.86 |
| 5 | #11 | Shirley Ann | 6-1 | 59.84 | Ability: 87.50 · Class: 40.62 · Connections: 53.12 · Form: 87.50 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 6 | #4 | Petronella | 10-1 | 55.31 | Ability: 46.88 · Class: 53.12 · Connections: 59.38 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 17.86 |
| 7 | #9 | Paris Twilight | 10-1 | 53.12 | Ability: 34.38 · Class: 9.38 · Connections: 71.88 · Form: 71.88 · Reliability: 60.71 |
| 8 | #6 | Ms. Jay Dee Em | 5-1 | 53.07 | Ability: 22.92 · Class: 3.12 · Connections: 78.12 · Form: 34.38 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #15 | Balright | 15-1 | 50.26 | Ability: 60.42 · Class: 46.88 · Connections: 46.88 · Form: 71.88 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #1 | Mechaya | 6-1 | 47.66 | Ability: 96.88 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 21.88 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 82.14 |
| 11 | #12 | Vekoma'S Diva | 12-1 | 44.38 | Ability: 40.62 · Class: 90.62 · Connections: 34.38 · Form: 96.88 · Reliability: 46.43 |
| 12 | #7 | Zoe'S Prime | 30-1 | 35.62 | Ability: 28.12 · Class: 28.12 · Connections: 40.62 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 10.71 |
| 13 | #2 | Cactus Cairo | 30-1 | 34.06 | Ability: 78.12 · Class: 34.38 · Connections: 15.62 · Form: 71.88 · Reliability: 32.14 |
| 14 | #13 | Solemn Vow | 30-1 | 25.62 | Ability: 21.88 · Class: 96.88 · Connections: 9.38 · Form: 3.12 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 15 | #8 | Elite | 20-1 | 20.94 | Ability: 3.12 · Class: 21.88 · Connections: 28.12 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 53.57 |
| 16 | #10 | Windy Houston | 30-1 | 8.12 | Ability: 15.62 · Class: 15.62 · Connections: 3.12 · Form: 28.12 · Reliability: 3.57 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 14 · 16 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.