The Connections Analyst · 2026-10-16
Marcus Cole at Laurel Park
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 4 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 6 · #3 Sota Summers
Best longshotRace 3 · #2 Sticker Shocked
Race 1 · 12 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Ready Set ranks first on this model’s 77.99 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Ready Set | 2-1 | 77.99 | Ability: 65.28 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 95.83 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #10 | Awesome Law | 4-1 | 73.75 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 87.50 · Form: 77.78 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #2 | Venturous | 6-1 | 68.19 | Ability: 52.78 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 70.83 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #9 | Awesome Moment | 30-1 | 58.54 | Ability: 20.83 · Class: 38.89 · Connections: 79.17 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #7 | Cass Nine | 20-1 | 57.08 | Ability: 48.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 62.50 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #11 | Letsbeatthetraffic | 30-1 | 53.75 | Ability: 55.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 54.17 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #8 | Imperial Charter | 4-1 | 53.12 | Ability: 79.17 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 37.50 · Form: 77.78 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 8 | #5 | Thomson Falls | 8-1 | 50.35 | Ability: 34.72 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 45.83 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #4 | To Eternity | 20-1 | 29.10 | Ability: 43.06 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 29.17 · Form: 94.44 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #3 | Hurricane Mattie | 30-1 | 26.25 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 20.83 · Form: 27.78 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 11 | #1 | No Law | 30-1 | 26.04 | Ability: 37.50 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 12.50 · Form: 16.67 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 12 | #12 | Not Forgotten | 30-1 | 24.58 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 4.17 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 10 · 2 · 9. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Frustrated ranks first on this model’s 79.17 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Frustrated | 1-1 | 79.17 | Ability: 66.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #2 | Plentyof Rogue | 5-1 | 65.83 | Ability: 53.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #1 | Card Shark | 2-1 | 60.83 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #5 | Mythical Magic | 6-1 | 37.78 | Ability: 36.11 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #4 | Eclipticals Empire | 20-1 | 32.50 | Ability: 40.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #3 | Beach Landing | 8-1 | 24.17 | Ability: 46.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 2 · 1 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 11 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Sticker Shocked ranks first on this model’s 75.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | Sticker Shocked | 20-1 | 75.00 | Ability: 13.64 · Class: 95.45 · Connections: 95.45 · Form: 4.55 · Reliability: 35.00 |
| 2 | #11 | Wise And Elegant | 12-1 | 74.32 | Ability: 54.55 · Class: 59.09 · Connections: 86.36 · Form: 45.45 · Reliability: 5.00 |
| 3 | #9 | Big Earn | 2-1 | 64.77 | Ability: 95.45 · Class: 72.73 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 77.27 · Reliability: 85.00 |
| 4 | #1 | Blessed Candy | 8-1 | 62.27 | Ability: 77.27 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 95.45 · Reliability: 65.00 |
| 5 | #3 | Brikeli | 8-1 | 56.36 | Ability: 31.82 · Class: 13.64 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 45.45 · Reliability: 55.00 |
| 6 | #8 | Mezcal Mama | 4-1 | 52.27 | Ability: 31.82 · Class: 22.73 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 77.27 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #7 | Sweeterthanwhiskey | 15-1 | 45.45 | Ability: 86.36 · Class: 31.82 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 77.27 · Reliability: 95.00 |
| 8 | #4 | Quadra | 6-1 | 43.64 | Ability: 68.18 · Class: 86.36 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 27.27 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 9 | #6 | Best Girl Magic | 30-1 | 40.91 | Ability: 40.91 · Class: 40.91 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 27.27 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 10 | #10 | The Magic Ofmovies | 5-1 | 32.73 | Ability: 54.55 · Class: 72.73 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 59.09 · Reliability: 15.00 |
| 11 | #5 | Never So Lucky | 30-1 | 4.55 | Ability: 4.55 · Class: 4.55 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 13.64 · Reliability: 45.00 |
Leading contenders: 2 · 11 · 9 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 13 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Jersey Corn ranks first on this model’s 80.77 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Jersey Corn | 8-1 | 80.77 | Ability: 62.31 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 96.15 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #3 | Lake Martin | 12-1 | 70.00 | Ability: 56.15 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 80.77 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #7 | Matt'S Venture | 6-1 | 66.15 | Ability: 59.23 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 73.08 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #2 | Bet Me | 10-1 | 65.23 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 65.38 · Form: 60.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #9 | Elite Warrior | 6-1 | 63.23 | Ability: 34.62 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 88.46 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #4 | Do The Right Thing | 6-1 | 53.77 | Ability: 34.62 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 57.69 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #6 | Boston Grey | 8-1 | 44.62 | Ability: 65.38 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 34.62 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #13 | Naxian | 20-1 | 44.62 | Ability: 46.92 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 42.31 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #11 | After All | 12-1 | 40.38 | Ability: 11.54 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #8 | Playin For Gin | 5-1 | 36.15 | Ability: 68.46 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 19.23 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 11 | #1 | Betterpartofvalour | 6-1 | 28.03 | Ability: 29.49 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 26.92 · Form: 60.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 12 | #12 | Last Call Barr | 30-1 | 25.38 | Ability: 43.85 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 11.54 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 13 | #10 | Longfield | 30-1 | 23.08 | Ability: 53.08 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 3.85 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 3 · 7 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 7 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Poor Peanut ranks first on this model’s 78.57 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #4 | Poor Peanut | 3-1 | 78.57 | Ability: 35.71 · Class: 92.86 · Connections: 92.86 · Form: 35.71 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 2 | #3 | Veneto | 2-1 | 71.43 | Ability: 92.86 · Class: 7.14 · Connections: 78.57 · Form: 92.86 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #6 | Orb Alpha | 15-1 | 57.86 | Ability: 64.29 · Class: 21.43 · Connections: 64.29 · Form: 78.57 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 4 | #2 | Pencil Me In | 5-1 | 57.14 | Ability: 78.57 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 5 | #7 | Battalion Leader | 6-1 | 38.57 | Ability: 21.43 · Class: 78.57 · Connections: 35.71 · Form: 7.14 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 6 | #1 | In Honor Of Jeff | 6-1 | 26.43 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 64.29 · Connections: 7.14 · Form: 64.29 · Reliability: 64.29 |
| 7 | #5 | Real Blues | 12-1 | 20.00 | Ability: 7.14 · Class: 35.71 · Connections: 21.43 · Form: 21.43 · Reliability: 78.57 |
Leading contenders: 4 · 3 · 6 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Sota Summers ranks first on this model’s 90.44 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Sota Summers | 3-1 | 90.44 | Ability: 85.00 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 78.57 |
| 2 | #5 | Continentaldrifter | 8-1 | 72.50 | Ability: 56.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #9 | Hello Hoppertunity | 30-1 | 59.50 | Ability: 52.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #10 | Penelope'S Gift | 4-1 | 54.19 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 92.86 |
| 5 | #6 | Mad Misty | 10-1 | 50.81 | Ability: 45.00 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 35.71 |
| 6 | #1 | Julieta'S Girl | 30-1 | 47.19 | Ability: 5.00 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 21.43 |
| 7 | #8 | Ultra Cameo | 20-1 | 35.31 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 7.14 |
| 8 | #7 | Divine Mousse | 2-1 | 29.94 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #4 | Honest Spin | 30-1 | 27.56 | Ability: 15.00 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 10 | #2 | Mischief Storm | 12-1 | 22.06 | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 64.29 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 5 · 9 · 10. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 11 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Edgy ranks first on this model’s 81.14 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Edgy | 2-1 | 81.14 | Ability: 95.45 · Class: 18.18 · Connections: 90.91 · Form: 95.45 · Reliability: 68.18 |
| 2 | #1A | Write Off Jerry | 1-1 | 74.09 | Ability: 86.36 · Class: 77.27 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 27.27 · Reliability: 86.36 |
| 3 | #8 | Next Level | 8-1 | 60.23 | Ability: 77.27 · Class: 36.36 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 86.36 · Reliability: 59.09 |
| 4 | #10 | Goodbye Note | 20-1 | 59.09 | Ability: 59.09 · Class: 95.45 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 68.18 · Reliability: 40.91 |
| 5 | #9 | Dynacito | 4-1 | 56.36 | Ability: 4.55 · Class: 4.55 · Connections: 90.91 · Form: 77.27 · Reliability: 13.64 |
| 6 | #1 | Fuerteventura | 1-1 | 55.23 | Ability: 13.64 · Class: 36.36 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 59.09 · Reliability: 4.55 |
| 7 | #6 | Just A Fair Shake | 15-1 | 40.91 | Ability: 68.18 · Class: 68.18 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 22.73 |
| 8 | #4 | Real Fast | 12-1 | 39.09 | Ability: 22.73 · Class: 59.09 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 4.55 · Reliability: 31.82 |
| 9 | #7 | Can Group | 10-1 | 34.32 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 18.18 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 40.91 · Reliability: 77.27 |
| 10 | #3 | Naptown | 5-1 | 25.91 | Ability: 40.91 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 13.64 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 11 | #2 | My Imagination | 20-1 | 23.64 | Ability: 31.82 · Class: 86.36 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 27.27 · Reliability: 95.45 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 1A · 8 · 10. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 8 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
His Friesan Fire ranks first on this model’s 82.39 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | His Friesan Fire | 4-1 | 82.39 | Ability: 55.56 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Jack Rabbitness | 1-1 | 66.17 | Ability: 66.67 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #6 | Follow My Hart | 5-1 | 49.17 | Ability: 66.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #5 | Uptomom | 12-1 | 45.53 | Ability: 36.11 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #2 | War Report | 5-1 | 37.31 | Ability: 47.22 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #1 | Speed Focused | 15-1 | 18.75 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 4 · 6 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.