LOOK BEYOND THE OBVIOUS.
The Connections Analyst · 2026-10-16

Marcus Cole at Penn National

Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.

Feature raceRace 7 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 7 · #7 Leonidas Stand
Best longshotRace 7 · #5 Designed By Smarty
Race 1 · 5 runners

Marcus’s quick read

Miss Ky Tap ranks first on this model’s 76.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineRatingComponent ratings
1#5Miss Ky Tap3.5-176.00Ability: 58.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 90.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00
2#1Sonoma'S Cause4.5-162.00Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 70.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00
3#3Amelia Adams2-154.00Ability: 66.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00
4#2Lady Cabernet4-134.67Ability: 36.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 30.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 50.00
5#4Elegant Artistry2.5-124.33Ability: 43.33 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 10.00 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 50.00

Leading contenders: 5 · 1 · 3 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 2 · 5 runners

Marcus’s quick read

Arrow Speed ranks first on this model’s 87.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineRatingComponent ratings
1#1Arrow Speed1.6-187.00Ability: 90.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 90.00 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 10.00
2#5Bermuda Run5-168.00Ability: 50.00 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 70.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 30.00
3#2Porch Swing2.5-143.00Ability: 70.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 30.00 · Form: 40.00 · Reliability: 70.00
4#3Disturbed3.5-139.00Ability: 30.00 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 90.00
5#4Purecrazigroove5-113.00Ability: 10.00 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 10.00 · Form: 40.00 · Reliability: 50.00

Leading contenders: 1 · 5 · 2 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 3 · 5 runners

Marcus’s quick read

Supremely Wicked ranks first on this model’s 68.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineRatingComponent ratings
1#2Supremely Wicked1.6-168.00Ability: 50.00 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 90.00 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 90.00
2#5Miami Kaz2.5-163.00Ability: 90.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 40.00 · Reliability: 70.00
3#1Torotoro5-149.00Ability: 10.00 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 70.00 · Form: 40.00 · Reliability: 10.00
4#3Howdidthatworkout4.5-143.00Ability: 70.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 30.00 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 30.00
5#4Peach Smoothie4-127.00Ability: 30.00 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 10.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00

Leading contenders: 2 · 5 · 1 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 4 · 6 runners

Marcus’s quick read

Disco Ebo ranks first on this model’s 67.50 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineRatingComponent ratings
1#3Disco Ebo3-167.50Ability: 75.00 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 8.33
2#1Divine Intentions3.5-164.17Ability: 41.67 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 58.33
3#2Peridot Pendant4-162.50Ability: 25.00 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 41.67
4#6Tap Dancin Cowgirl5-150.83Ability: 58.33 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 25.00
5#5Think Fast2.5-141.67Ability: 91.67 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 75.00
6#4Jump A Fox8-113.33Ability: 8.33 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 91.67

Leading contenders: 3 · 1 · 2 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 5 · 5 runners

Marcus’s quick read

Landofhopeandreams ranks first on this model’s 77.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.

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RankProgramHorseMorning lineRatingComponent ratings
1#5Landofhopeandreams3.5-177.00Ability: 50.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 90.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 70.00
2#1Music Clarifcation1.6-172.00Ability: 90.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 70.00 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 30.00
3#4Honor Roll2.5-161.00Ability: 70.00 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 10.00
4#2Red Betty5-122.00Ability: 10.00 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 30.00 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 90.00
5#3Alyvia'S Lil Girl5-118.00Ability: 30.00 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 10.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 50.00

Leading contenders: 5 · 1 · 4 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 6 · 6 runners

Marcus’s quick read

Satisfied Mind ranks first on this model’s 75.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.

Jump to exotic contenders ↓
RankProgramHorseMorning lineRatingComponent ratings
1#1Satisfied Mind3-175.00Ability: 25.00 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 8.33
2#2I B Flyin6-168.33Ability: 58.33 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 41.67
3#4Inanoceanoflove8-146.67Ability: 41.67 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 41.67 · Reliability: 25.00
4#6Honorisia4-140.00Ability: 75.00 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 91.67
5#5Air Force Sue3.5-138.33Ability: 8.33 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 58.33
6#3Winning Play2-131.67Ability: 91.67 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 58.33 · Reliability: 75.00

Leading contenders: 1 · 2 · 4 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Race 7 · 8 runners

Marcus’s quick read

Leonidas Stand ranks first on this model’s 87.81 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.

Jump to exotic contenders ↓
RankProgramHorseMorning lineRatingComponent ratings
1#7Leonidas Stand2.5-187.81Ability: 81.25 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 68.75
2#5Designed By Smarty8-163.12Ability: 31.25 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 18.75
3#3More Power6-162.19Ability: 68.75 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 56.25
4#6Birravino Blvd10-160.00Ability: 18.75 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 31.25
5#2Highly Potent3.5-154.38Ability: 93.75 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 81.25
6#8Scudetto8-138.12Ability: 43.75 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 43.75
7#4Warrior'S Way Out8-126.25Ability: 56.25 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 93.75
8#1Stonecoldhandsome4.5-18.12Ability: 6.25 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 6.25

Leading contenders: 7 · 5 · 3 · 6. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.

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Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.