The Connections Analyst · 2026-10-16
Marcus Cole at Santa Anita
Independent full-field rankings. The feature race rule is the largest field, with the earlier race breaking ties.
Feature raceRace 8 · Largest field
Best bet / strongest model signalRace 9 · #9 Zakiel
Best longshotRace 5 · #5 Cathal
Race 1 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Miles Finch ranks first on this model’s 91.88 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Miles Finch | 1-1 | 91.88 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 2 | #8 | Luck Lucky | 4.5-1 | 71.56 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 3 | #1 | Letmein | 5-1 | 53.12 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 4 | #3 | Danzing Wild Cat | 6-1 | 52.81 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 5 | #7 | Hurricane Way | 6-1 | 51.88 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 6 | #2 | Need Mo Diamonds | 30-1 | 47.50 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 7 | #4 | Sun Chaser | 15-1 | 21.88 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 12.50 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 8 | #6 | Maddie Tee | 20-1 | 9.38 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 6.25 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 8 · 1 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 2 · 5 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Ima Track Star ranks first on this model’s 76.00 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | Ima Track Star | 0.6-1 | 76.00 | Ability: 70.00 · Class: 30.00 · Connections: 90.00 · Form: 70.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #2 | Southern Melodee | 4-1 | 63.00 | Ability: 30.00 · Class: 90.00 · Connections: 70.00 · Form: 30.00 · Reliability: 90.00 |
| 3 | #4 | Singlemore | 4-1 | 51.00 | Ability: 90.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 30.00 · Form: 90.00 · Reliability: 70.00 |
| 4 | #1 | Chase N Ryan | 6-1 | 40.00 | Ability: 10.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 10.00 · Reliability: 10.00 |
| 5 | #5 | Meeking | 12-1 | 20.00 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 10.00 · Connections: 10.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 30.00 |
Leading contenders: 3 · 2 · 4 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 3 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Grey'S Boy ranks first on this model’s 81.88 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #1 | Grey'S Boy | 1.8-1 | 81.88 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 2 | #6 | Mo Holland Drive | 5-1 | 69.38 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 3 | #4 | Scene By Me | 2.5-1 | 62.19 | Ability: 87.50 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 4 | #3 | Victoria'S Rocket | 8-1 | 50.00 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 5 | #5 | Sterling Sea | 12-1 | 49.38 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 81.25 |
| 6 | #7 | Andtheomofthebrave | 4.5-1 | 37.81 | Ability: 87.50 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 7 | #8 | Agrowest | 20-1 | 30.62 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 6.25 |
| 8 | #2 | Bad Uncle Ernie | 30-1 | 18.75 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 31.25 |
Leading contenders: 1 · 6 · 4 · 3. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 4 · 6 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Miss Practical ranks first on this model’s 67.50 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Miss Practical | 4.5-1 | 67.50 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 91.67 · Connections: 58.33 · Form: 8.33 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 2 | #3 | Kool Mariah | 2-1 | 65.83 | Ability: 58.33 · Class: 41.67 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 3 | #2 | Baby Needs Shoes | 8-1 | 65.00 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 91.67 · Form: 75.00 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 4 | #1 | Dottie Hinson | 1.6-1 | 59.17 | Ability: 91.67 · Class: 75.00 · Connections: 41.67 · Form: 91.67 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 5 | #5 | Dorie Miller | 5-1 | 24.17 | Ability: 41.67 · Class: 58.33 · Connections: 8.33 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 6 | #4 | Cotta Ride | 10-1 | 18.33 | Ability: 8.33 · Class: 8.33 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 8.33 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 3 · 2 · 1. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 5 · 10 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Cathal ranks first on this model’s 76.25 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | Cathal | 12-1 | 76.25 | Ability: 35.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 95.00 · Form: 65.00 · Reliability: 45.00 |
| 2 | #9 | Fomo Joe | 4.5-1 | 75.50 | Ability: 95.00 · Class: 85.00 · Connections: 65.00 · Form: 65.00 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 3 | #6 | Dairago | 1.6-1 | 67.00 | Ability: 85.00 · Class: 5.00 · Connections: 75.00 · Form: 85.00 · Reliability: 95.00 |
| 4 | #7 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 6-1 | 62.75 | Ability: 5.00 · Class: 70.00 · Connections: 85.00 · Form: 5.00 · Reliability: 5.00 |
| 5 | #4 | Caisson | 2.5-1 | 52.50 | Ability: 75.00 · Class: 45.00 · Connections: 45.00 · Form: 65.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 6 | #8 | Grandisimo | 10-1 | 49.00 | Ability: 55.00 · Class: 15.00 · Connections: 55.00 · Form: 95.00 · Reliability: 65.00 |
| 7 | #10 | Oobubbakakayo | 15-1 | 40.50 | Ability: 45.00 · Class: 55.00 · Connections: 35.00 · Form: 45.00 · Reliability: 55.00 |
| 8 | #1 | Geometry | 3.5-1 | 33.50 | Ability: 65.00 · Class: 95.00 · Connections: 5.00 · Form: 25.00 · Reliability: 35.00 |
| 9 | #3 | Rhythem On Stage | 20-1 | 22.50 | Ability: 15.00 · Class: 25.00 · Connections: 25.00 · Form: 35.00 · Reliability: 15.00 |
| 10 | #2 | Spearfish | 30-1 | 20.50 | Ability: 25.00 · Class: 35.00 · Connections: 15.00 · Form: 15.00 · Reliability: 85.00 |
Leading contenders: 5 · 9 · 6 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 6 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
He'S Got Fire ranks first on this model’s 75.03 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | He'S Got Fire | 4-1 | 75.03 | Ability: 88.89 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 2 | #5 | Mystic Moses | 1.6-1 | 71.08 | Ability: 88.89 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 3 | #4 | Foregoneconclusion | 15-1 | 68.25 | Ability: 42.59 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #2 | Fine Irish Morning | 3-1 | 66.15 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 5 | #8 | Hungover | 3.5-1 | 49.97 | Ability: 61.11 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 8.33 |
| 6 | #7 | Tiger To You | 20-1 | 47.12 | Ability: 38.89 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 7 | #3 | Epic Hero | 30-1 | 32.22 | Ability: 58.89 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #1 | Naudesnoodle | 30-1 | 27.40 | Ability: 16.67 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 9 | #9 | Zenjin | 30-1 | 16.86 | Ability: 20.37 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 5 · 4 · 2. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 7 · 8 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Cailin Dana ranks first on this model’s 81.25 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | Cailin Dana | 8-1 | 81.25 | Ability: 81.25 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 81.25 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 31.25 |
| 2 | #2 | Pentle Bay | 6-1 | 76.25 | Ability: 68.75 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 93.75 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 68.75 |
| 3 | #1 | Midnight Horizon | 3.5-1 | 57.50 | Ability: 31.25 · Class: 56.25 · Connections: 68.75 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 93.75 |
| 4 | #7 | Lanilla | 10-1 | 45.62 | Ability: 43.75 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 56.25 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 43.75 |
| 5 | #3 | Roselee May | 4-1 | 41.25 | Ability: 93.75 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 6.25 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 18.75 |
| 6 | #8 | Dea Matrona | 5-1 | 37.50 | Ability: 56.25 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 31.25 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 56.25 |
| 7 | #5 | Daring Pursuit | 4.5-1 | 34.38 | Ability: 6.25 · Class: 43.75 · Connections: 43.75 · Form: 37.50 · Reliability: 6.25 |
| 8 | #4 | Wink And A Grin | 6-1 | 26.25 | Ability: 18.75 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 18.75 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 81.25 |
Leading contenders: 6 · 2 · 1 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 8 · 11 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Lucky Tammy ranks first on this model’s 80.91 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #10 | Lucky Tammy | 5-1 | 80.91 | Ability: 64.55 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 95.45 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 2 | #4 | Fiery Tiger | 10-1 | 63.64 | Ability: 60.91 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 68.18 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 3 | #11 | Jade'S Most Wanted | 2.5-1 | 62.12 | Ability: 37.88 · Class: 5.56 · Connections: 86.36 · Form: 22.22 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #5 | Az Daisy | 30-1 | 55.45 | Ability: 19.70 · Class: 27.78 · Connections: 77.27 · Form: 5.56 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #9 | Chachacha Ching | 10-1 | 53.71 | Ability: 68.18 · Class: 44.44 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 88.89 · Reliability: 91.67 |
| 6 | #12 | Beastro | 30-1 | 51.97 | Ability: 22.73 · Class: 72.22 · Connections: 59.09 · Form: 22.22 · Reliability: 41.67 |
| 7 | #2 | Harkette | 5-1 | 48.33 | Ability: 80.30 · Class: 61.11 · Connections: 31.82 · Form: 88.89 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #6 | Quick Up | 30-1 | 37.27 | Ability: 40.91 · Class: 16.67 · Connections: 40.91 · Form: 38.89 · Reliability: 25.00 |
| 9 | #1 | Zayda At The Spa | 20-1 | 35.08 | Ability: 59.09 · Class: 44.44 · Connections: 22.73 · Form: 61.11 · Reliability: 58.33 |
| 10 | #7 | Thirsty Caitlin | 8-1 | 34.85 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 94.44 · Connections: 13.64 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 75.00 |
| 11 | #3 | Shemakesmemad | 15-1 | 23.18 | Ability: 31.82 · Class: 83.33 · Connections: 4.55 · Form: 72.22 · Reliability: 8.33 |
Leading contenders: 10 · 4 · 11 · 5. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Race 9 · 9 runners
Marcus’s quick read
Zakiel ranks first on this model’s 89.69 rating. Ratings are not win probabilities.
Jump to exotic contenders ↓| Rank | Program | Horse | Morning line | Rating | Component ratings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #9 | Zakiel | 1.6-1 | 89.69 | Ability: 83.33 · Class: 81.25 · Connections: 94.44 · Form: 93.75 · Reliability: 83.33 |
| 2 | #2 | Royal Rumor | 6-1 | 63.33 | Ability: 50.00 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 72.22 · Form: 43.75 · Reliability: 16.67 |
| 3 | #3 | Columnist | 3.5-1 | 59.76 | Ability: 27.78 · Class: 18.75 · Connections: 83.33 · Form: 68.75 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 4 | #7 | Unconventional | 20-1 | 53.33 | Ability: 36.67 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 61.11 · Form: 50.00 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 5 | #8 | Gray Thunder | 10-1 | 50.89 | Ability: 64.81 · Class: 31.25 · Connections: 50.00 · Form: 56.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 6 | #4 | Chaotic Neutral | 8-1 | 38.52 | Ability: 57.41 · Class: 50.00 · Connections: 27.78 · Form: 31.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 7 | #5 | Soul Force | 8-1 | 35.84 | Ability: 46.30 · Class: 6.25 · Connections: 38.89 · Form: 18.75 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 8 | #6 | Strike It Solo | 8-1 | 33.55 | Ability: 79.63 · Class: 68.75 · Connections: 5.56 · Form: 81.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
| 9 | #1 | Blindly Loyal | 20-1 | 32.86 | Ability: 35.19 · Class: 93.75 · Connections: 16.67 · Form: 6.25 · Reliability: 50.00 |
Leading contenders: 9 · 2 · 3 · 7. Confirm official betting interests and current pool minimums.
Back to card summary ↑Morning-line odds are estimates, not current prices. Rankings and model scores are experimental projections, not guarantees. Verify scratches, surface changes, official betting interests and post times.